《区域经济展望》,2019年10月,中东和中亚

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引用次数: 1

摘要

中东、北非、阿富汗和巴基斯坦(MENAP)地区的石油出口国近期增长仍然低迷,原因是油价波动、全球经济增长不稳定、财政脆弱性加剧以及地缘政治紧张局势加剧。此外,生产率下降正在抑制中期增长前景。为了减少对油价的依赖并为更可持续的增长铺平道路,需要恢复财政整顿,并以改善中期财政框架为基础。与此同时,结构性改革和进一步发展金融业将促进外国直接投资(FDI)和国内私人投资,促进多样化,从而有助于提高生产率和潜在增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2019, Middle East and Central Asia
Growth in the near term remains subdued for oil exporters in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP) region, amid volatile oil prices, precarious global growth, elevated fiscal vulnerabilities, and heightened geopolitical tensions. In addition, declining productivity is dampening medium-term growth prospects. To reduce dependence on oil prices and pave the way for more sustainable growth, fiscal consolidation needs to resume, underpinned by improved medium-term fiscal frameworks. In parallel, structural reforms and further financial sector development would boost foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic private investment and foster diversification, thus contributing to improved productivity and potential growth.
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