基于人员流动预测的新冠肺炎疫情防控策略研究

Ping He
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引用次数: 13

摘要

本文根据疫情风险预测的不相容特征,提出了一种新型冠状病毒肺炎风险防控决策模型。首先,通过收集人员流动信息,分析疫情风险的不确定性属性,解决人员流动的不确定性导致疫情风险无法准确预测的问题,并针对可能出现的COVID-19提出应急防控对策。其次,运用相关函数法建立疫情风险防控分析模型,为公共卫生安全风险防控提供了一种新的研究方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study on Epidemic Prevention and Control Strategy of COVID -19 Based on Personnel Flow Prediction
In this paper, a COVID-19 risk prevention and control decision-making model is proposed according to the incompatible characteristics of epidemic risk prediction. Firstly, the uncertainty attribute of epidemic risk was analyzed through the collection of information on the personnel flow, and the problem that the risk of the epidemic could not be accurately predicted due to the uncertainty of the personnel flow was solved, and emergency prevention and control countermeasures were proposed for the possible COVID-19. Secondly, a model of epidemic risk prevention and control analysis is established by using correlation function method, which provides a new research method for risk prevention and control of public health security.
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