荷兰病综合征:尼日利亚的资源陷阱病,容易感染,对系统有害,难以治愈

Yusuf, Izang Elijah
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摘要

本研究考察了1970 - 1985年尼日利亚荷兰病综合征的经济状况。本文认为,由于石油美元盈余的大量流入,1970年石油的发现为该国打开了机会之窗。矛盾的结果是,在达到顶峰后,盈余稳步下降,而在价格高企时产生的收入往往会导致“荷兰病”。本文的研究结果证实了尼日利亚经济体系中存在资源诅咒。这项研究的结果表明,不支持贸易部门、腐败、管理不善、出口基础缺乏多样化以及农业、工业和采矿业等非石油部门影响了该国的经济基础。因此,尼日利亚人很容易受到高油价的影响,石油繁荣的衰退变成了一种有害的贫困疾病,尽管付出了很多努力,但现在已经变得非常难以治愈。这表明,在丰富中存在着稀缺的悖论。本文采用历史研究方法,依靠数据分析的定性方法。本文的结论是,尼日利亚的石油发现与其说是福,不如说是祸。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dutch Disease Syndrome: The Nigeria’s Resource Trap Sickness, Easy to Catch, Harmful to the System and Difficult to Cure
This study examines the economy of Dutch disease syndrome in Nigeria from 1970 – 1985. The paper argues that the discovery of oil in 1970 opened-up windows of opportunities for the country, as a result of high inflow of petrodollar surpluses. The paradoxical effect is this, after reaching its peak period, the surpluses decline steadily and the revenue it generated when prices were high tends to cause “Dutch Disease”. The result of this study establishes the existence of resource curse in the Nigeria’s economy system. Findings of this study shows that the non-support of tradable sector, corruption, mismanagement, lack of diversification of export base and the non-oil sectors like agriculture, industries and mining, affected the country’s economic base. Thus, it was easy for Nigerians to catch the high oil prices, the decline in the oil boom transformed into a harmful poverty disease and it has now become very difficult to cure despite so many efforts. This shows that, there is a paradox of scarcity amidst plenty. This paper adopts the historical research method which relies on qualitative approach of data analysis. The paper draws conclusion to the fact that, oil discovery in Nigeria is a curse rather than a blessing.
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