不同技术对可再生能源预测的调查

V. Natarajan, Poojitha Karatampati
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引用次数: 7

摘要

风能和太阳能是可再生能源技术,是世界上非常流行和众所周知的能源来源。化石燃料是由自然过程形成的,含有大量的碳,包括煤、天然气和石油,它们属于不可再生能源。风能和太阳能预测是对可再生能源的输出功率和能量进行估计。定期进行预测,以平衡能源的供应和需求。由于太阳和风的变化是随机的,许多统计模型以及线性和非线性模型(如ARIMA、卡尔曼滤波、人工神经网络和支持向量机)分别用于捕捉太阳能和风能的随机性。各种方法都存在计算量大、不能改变时变时间序列系统等缺点。本文对太阳能和风能的理论预测方法进行了全面的综述,并对不同方法的优缺点进行了比较。太阳能和风力发电的时间序列预测研究主要集中在回顾长短期记忆(LSTM)和循环神经网络(RNN)的优势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Survey on renewable energy forecasting using different techniques
Wind and solar are the renewable technologies which are very popular and well known source of energies throughout the world. Fossil fuels are formed by natural processes which contain a high quantity of carbon include coal, natural gas and petroleum which comes under non-renewable energy sources. Wind and solar Energy Forecasting is done to estimate the output power and energy of renewable energy sources. Forecasting is done at regular intervals to balance the supply and demand of energy. Solar and wind power forecasting are completely depends on metrological parameters such as velocity and direction of the wind, temperature, and humidity As solar and wind variability is stochastic, many of statistical models along with linear and non-linear models such as ARIMA, kalman filters, ANN, and support vector machines respectively used to catch the randomness of solar and wind energy. Lot of disadvantages are there for various approaches along with its computation complexity and incapability to alter the time varying time-series systems. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the theoretical forecasting methodologies for both solar and wind energy and also merits and demerits of different methods. The study of time series prediction of solar and wind power generation mainly focus on reviewing the advantage of using Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN).
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