第二轨道外交及其对巴以奥斯陆和平进程的贡献

N. F.
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引用次数: 0

摘要

第二轨道外交的目的是处理那些被认为难以解决的冲突,因为对对手的理性计算会导致一场零和游戏。轨道二外交是非官方的,它根据人们的看法和信念行事,并有望改变每个参与者对其战略利益和对其核心价值观的威胁的看法。我们将源于第二轨道外交理论的概念框架应用于以色列-巴勒斯坦冲突,因为这是一场棘手冲突被第二轨道外交倡议转变的典型案例。成功的第二轨道外交倡议是由第三方发起的,该第三方使敌对的精英们——即美国官方和非官方行为体,或智库——社会化。它们与轨道一半外交相结合,对轨道一产生影响,即关于和平的正式外交谈判。然而,这并没有导致和平与冲突解决组织所倡导的深入基层的转变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE TRACK TWO DIPLOMACY AND ITS CONTRIBUTION TO THE ISRAELI PALESTINIAN OSLO PEACE PROCESS
Track two diplomacy is designed to deal with conflicts that are deemed to be intractable, because the rational calculation of the antagonists leads to a zero-sum game. Track two diplomacy is non-official, it acts on the perceptions and beliefs and is expected to change the way each actor perceives their strategic interests and threats to their core values. We apply the conceptual frames derived from track two diplomacy theories to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict because it was a typical case of an intractable conflict transformed with track two diplomacy initiatives. Successful track two diplomacy initiatives were initiated by a third party that socialised the antagonistic elites – i. e. US official and non-official actors, or think tanks. They were combined with track one-and-a-half diplomacy, with an effect on the track one, i. e. the official diplomatic negotiations on peace. Nevertheless, that did not lead to the in-depth transformation on the grassroots level advocated by peace and conflict resolution organisations.
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