全球化、区域化与技术变革

Frederick Guy
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在过去的半个世纪里,各国经济已经从根本上变得更加一体化。许多人认为国际经济一体化的过程是全球性的(因此称为全球化)。本章认为,在未来几十年,区域经济一体化——这里指的是像欧洲和中国这样的次大陆超级区域——可能会使全球一体化黯然失色。全球一体化往往是制度上的极简主义,正如我们在简单的世贸组织式市场自由化中所看到的那样。在亚全球层面整合的经济过程可以与更深层次的监管相关联。在一次冲击导致管理经济一体化的机构重组之后,全球一体化的制度简单性允许相对快速的采用,但随着亚全球一体化的进展,全球一体化将会倒退。全球一体化是兔子,区域一体化是乌龟。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Globalization, Regionalization, and Technological Change
National economies have become, over the past half century, radically more integrated. The process of international economic integration is viewed by many as being global (hence the term globalization). This chapter argues that regional economic integration – regions here in the sense of sub‐continental mega‐regions, such as Europe and China – is likely to eclipse global integration in coming decades. Global integration tends to be institutionally minimalist, such as we see reflected in simple WTO‐style market liberalization. Economic processes integrated at a sub‐global level can be associated with deeper regulation. Following a shock which leads to a restructuring of the institutions governing economic integration, the institutional simplicity of global integration allows for relatively rapid adoption, but global integration will be rolled back as sub‐global integration progresses. Global integration is the hare, regional integration the tortoise.
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