从希腊退欧到希腊复苏:三驾马车与希腊交往的悖论

Anna Visvizi
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引用次数: 7

摘要

囿于上届政府的承诺以及2010年和2012年初与三驾马车谈判达成的协议,希腊政府继续将财政调整的负担转嫁给私营部门,扼杀了希腊国内任何新生的投资和创业想法。与此同时,大胆的结构性改革受制于执政联盟不确定的平衡和希腊议会微不足道的多数。希腊当局正处于左右为难的境地,他们寻求实现基本财政盈余,希望这将有助于在2014年结束本质上存在缺陷的希腊经济调整计划。令人惊讶的是,仅仅谈论财政盈余似乎就点燃了人们对危机实际上可能接近尾声的积极预期。这表明,就像希腊危机是由有关希腊财政状况的不负责任和不准确的言论引发的,以及希腊退欧在2011年之前是一个可行的选择一样,有关希腊复苏的言论可能会被证明是这场危机结束的组成部分。本文探讨了这一问题,并通过这样做来思考欧盟核心-边缘关系及其决策的演变性质。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
From Grexit to Grecovery: The Paradox of the Troika's Engagement with Greece
Abstract Locked in the commitments of previous governments and arrangements negotiated with the Troika back in 2010 and early 2012, the Greek government continues to channel the burden of fiscal adjustment towards the private sector, killing any nascent thoughts of investment and entrepreneurship in Greece. Simultaneously, bold structural reforms are kept hostage to the uncertain balance of the ruling coalition and negligible majority in the Greek parliament. Caught literally between a rock and a hard place, the authorities seek to attain a primary fiscal surplus, hopeful that this will help to bring an end to the essentially faulty economic adjustment programme for Greece in 2014. Surprisingly, the talk of fiscal surplus alone seems to have ignited positive expectations that the crisis might, in fact, be nearing an end. This suggests that in the same way as the crisis in Greece was provoked by irresponsible and inaccurate statements about Greece's fiscal position and Grexit was a viable option through 2011, discourses on Grecovery may prove constitutive of the end of the crisis. This paper explores this issue and by so doing contemplates the evolving nature of the core-periphery relations in the EU and its policy-making.
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