正态和正态逼近在期权和股票组合风险度量中的应用

E. Sulistianingsih., D. Rosadi, Abdurakhman
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引用次数: 1

摘要

由于与股票价格不同,期权价值对市场风险因素具有非线性依赖关系,因此用风险价值(VaR)来衡量由期权和股票等多种资产组成的投资组合的风险将变得更具挑战性。本文考虑利用δ正态和δ γ正态作为决定资产价格因素的线性方法。该方法采用一阶和二阶泰勒级数的连续展开式来逼近利润损失,这对于开发多资产组合的VaR具有突出的意义。作为这些方法的应用,本文分析了一个由一只股票(埃克森美孚公司(XOM))和两家不同企业(京东公司(JD)和埃尼公司)的两种期权组成的投资组合。根据Kupiec回溯检验,可以得出结论,在这种情况下,VaR δ正态和VaR δ γ正态模型在一些不同的置信水平(90%、95%和99%)上提供了很好的风险度量。由于与股票价格不同,期权价值对市场风险因素具有非线性依赖关系,因此用风险价值(VaR)来衡量由期权和股票等多种资产组成的投资组合的风险将变得更具挑战性。本文考虑利用δ正态和δ γ正态作为决定资产价格因素的线性方法。该方法采用一阶和二阶泰勒级数的连续展开式来逼近利润损失,这对于开发多资产组合的VaR具有突出的意义。作为这些方法的应用,本文分析了一个由一只股票(埃克森美孚公司(XOM))和两家不同企业(京东公司(JD)和埃尼公司)的两种期权组成的投资组合。根据Kupiec回溯检验,可以得出结论,在这种情况下,VaR δ正态和VaR δ γ正态模型在一些不同的置信水平(90%、95%和99%)上提供了很好的风险度量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Delta normal and delta gamma normal approximation in risk measurement of portfolio consisted of option and stock
Measuring risk of a portfolio comprising of multi assets such as option and stock by Value at Risk (VaR) will become more challenging because unlike stock price, value of an option has a nonlinear dependence on market risk factor. This paper considered to utilize Delta Normal and Delta Gamma Normal as a linear approach of the factor determining price of the assets. The methods use consecutively the expansion of first and second-order Taylor Series to approximate the profit loss, which is prominent to develop VaR of a multi-asset portfolio. As an application of these methods, this paper analyzed a portfolio comprising of one stock (Exxon Mobile Corporation (XOM)) and two options from two different enterprises, namely JD.com, Inc. (JD), and Eni. S.p. A (E). According to Kupiec Backtesting, it can be concluded that in this case, VaR Delta Normal and VaR Delta Gamma Normal Models provide a good risk measurement at some different confidence levels (90, 95, and 99 percent).Measuring risk of a portfolio comprising of multi assets such as option and stock by Value at Risk (VaR) will become more challenging because unlike stock price, value of an option has a nonlinear dependence on market risk factor. This paper considered to utilize Delta Normal and Delta Gamma Normal as a linear approach of the factor determining price of the assets. The methods use consecutively the expansion of first and second-order Taylor Series to approximate the profit loss, which is prominent to develop VaR of a multi-asset portfolio. As an application of these methods, this paper analyzed a portfolio comprising of one stock (Exxon Mobile Corporation (XOM)) and two options from two different enterprises, namely JD.com, Inc. (JD), and Eni. S.p. A (E). According to Kupiec Backtesting, it can be concluded that in this case, VaR Delta Normal and VaR Delta Gamma Normal Models provide a good risk measurement at some different confidence levels (90, 95, and 99 percent).
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