捷克可再生能源的优序效应

Petra Luňáčková, J. Pr̊uša, K. Janda
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引用次数: 3

摘要

我们评估了光伏发电厂和其他可再生能源对捷克共和国电力供应曲线的影响。优序效应估计为电力现货价格相对于可再生能源电力供应变化的弹性。本文分析了2010年至2015年捷克电力现货市场的数据,因为这是可再生能源发电能力增长最快的时期。对太阳能和其他可再生能源的影响分别进行了估计。我们发现这两组之间存在显著差异。我们的研究结果表明,基于每小时、每天和每周的数据,捷克太阳能发电厂生产的能源并没有降低电力现货价格,而是给最终消费者带来了双重成本。然而,基于每日和每周平均数据的优点顺序效应显示存在于除太阳能以外的其他可再生能源(主要是水和风能)。这有助于得出这样的结论:捷克的可再生能源政策倾向于太阳能而不是其他可再生能源,这可能被认为是次优的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Merit Order Effect of Czech Renewable Energy
We assess the impact of photovoltaic power plants and other renewable sources on the electricity supply curve in the Czech Republic. The merit order effect is estimated as the elasticity of electricity spot price with respect to change in supply of electricity from renewable sources. Data for the Czech electricity spot market from 2010 to 2015 are analyzed as this is the period with the steepest increase in a renewable generation capacity. The effect is estimated separately for solar and other renewable sources. We find a significant difference between these two groups. Our results show that based on hourly, daily and weekly data energy produced by Czech solar power plants does not decrease electricity spot price, creating double cost to the end consumer. However, the merit order effect based on averaged daily and weekly data is shown to exist for other renewable sources excluding solar (mainly water and wind). This contributes to the conclusion that the Czech renewables policy that prefers solar to other renewable sources may be considered as suboptimal.
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