H. Rodríguez, Manuel Medrano, Luis A. Morales Rosales, Gloria Ekaterine Peralta Peñuñuri, J. Flores
{"title":"风速时间序列的多步预测策略","authors":"H. Rodríguez, Manuel Medrano, Luis A. Morales Rosales, Gloria Ekaterine Peralta Peñuñuri, J. Flores","doi":"10.1109/ROPEC50909.2020.9258743","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"A time series is a sequence of observations, measured at certain moments in time, ordered chronologically and evenly spaced, so that the data are usually dependent on each other. Currently, time series are used to estimate wind gusts, which are highly non-linear, unknown, and at times unpredictable. A good estimation of wind gusts implies correct planning on the generation of clean wind energy. In this work, we use Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques such as the use of convolutional neural networks for wind gust estimation. One of the best models for dealing with this type of information is the Large Short Term Memory (LSTM) network because it is a type of recurrent network that specializes in sequence information. In this work, an LSTM prediction model is implemented for five different wind speed data sets using different multi-step forecasting strategies. The strategies used are Recursive, Direct, MIMO (multiple-input to multiple-output), DIRMO (Combination of direct strategy and MIMO), and DirREC (Combination of direct and recursive strategy).","PeriodicalId":177447,"journal":{"name":"2020 IEEE International Autumn Meeting on Power, Electronics and Computing (ROPEC)","volume":"60 5","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Multi-step forecasting strategies for wind speed time series\",\"authors\":\"H. Rodríguez, Manuel Medrano, Luis A. Morales Rosales, Gloria Ekaterine Peralta Peñuñuri, J. Flores\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ROPEC50909.2020.9258743\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"A time series is a sequence of observations, measured at certain moments in time, ordered chronologically and evenly spaced, so that the data are usually dependent on each other. Currently, time series are used to estimate wind gusts, which are highly non-linear, unknown, and at times unpredictable. A good estimation of wind gusts implies correct planning on the generation of clean wind energy. In this work, we use Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques such as the use of convolutional neural networks for wind gust estimation. One of the best models for dealing with this type of information is the Large Short Term Memory (LSTM) network because it is a type of recurrent network that specializes in sequence information. In this work, an LSTM prediction model is implemented for five different wind speed data sets using different multi-step forecasting strategies. The strategies used are Recursive, Direct, MIMO (multiple-input to multiple-output), DIRMO (Combination of direct strategy and MIMO), and DirREC (Combination of direct and recursive strategy).\",\"PeriodicalId\":177447,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2020 IEEE International Autumn Meeting on Power, Electronics and Computing (ROPEC)\",\"volume\":\"60 5\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-11-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2020 IEEE International Autumn Meeting on Power, Electronics and Computing (ROPEC)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ROPEC50909.2020.9258743\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2020 IEEE International Autumn Meeting on Power, Electronics and Computing (ROPEC)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ROPEC50909.2020.9258743","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Multi-step forecasting strategies for wind speed time series
A time series is a sequence of observations, measured at certain moments in time, ordered chronologically and evenly spaced, so that the data are usually dependent on each other. Currently, time series are used to estimate wind gusts, which are highly non-linear, unknown, and at times unpredictable. A good estimation of wind gusts implies correct planning on the generation of clean wind energy. In this work, we use Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques such as the use of convolutional neural networks for wind gust estimation. One of the best models for dealing with this type of information is the Large Short Term Memory (LSTM) network because it is a type of recurrent network that specializes in sequence information. In this work, an LSTM prediction model is implemented for five different wind speed data sets using different multi-step forecasting strategies. The strategies used are Recursive, Direct, MIMO (multiple-input to multiple-output), DIRMO (Combination of direct strategy and MIMO), and DirREC (Combination of direct and recursive strategy).