技术、不平等和总需求

Shinnosuke Kikuchi
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摘要

技术进步造成的不平等对宏观经济的影响是什么?本文采用具有技能异质性和roy型职业选择的标准重叠代模型,考察了常规偏倚的技术变革对收入分配和总需求的影响。研究发现,与服务业相比,制造业的劳动生产率增长相对较快,这可以解释就业和工资两极分化,以及20世纪80年代至2010年美国实际利率下降约三分之二的原因。它还记录了这种有偏见的技术变革对总产出停滞的潜在贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Technology, Inequality, and Aggregate Demand
What is the macroeconomic implications of inequality caused by technological progress? Using a standard over-lapping-generations model with skill heterogeneity and the Roy-type occupational choice, this paper examines how routine-biased technological change impacts income distribution and aggregate demand. It finds that the relatively rapid labor productivity increase in the manufacturing sector compared to the service sector can explain job and wage polarization and about two-thirds of the decline in the real interest rate in the US from the 1980's to 2010's. It also documents the potential contribution of that biased technological change to the stagnation of aggregate output.
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