通过自主决策实施承诺解决方案

Volker Hahn
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文证明,在一类具有理性预期的线性二次模型中,由于承诺解可以由决策者在自由裁量权下执行,因此可以避免由于时间不一致问题而造成的损失。我们主要关注两种方法。首先,我们证明了实现承诺解的非马尔可夫声誉均衡总是存在的。其次,我们展示了如何将政策工具的额外目标委托给政策制定者,通过标准的可自由支配马尔可夫均衡来实现承诺解决方案。无论决策者赋予额外目标多少权重,都可以实现承诺结果,这一事实促进了执行。以标准的新凯恩斯模型为例,我们研究了在最优额外产出目标和央行最优利率目标下的经济动态。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Implementing the Commitment Solution via Discretionary Policy-Making
This paper demonstrates that, in a large class of linear-quadratic models with rational expectations, losses due to time-inconsistency problems can be avoided, as the commitment solution can be implemented by a policy-maker who acts under discretion. We focus on two approaches. First, we show that a non-Markovian, reputational equilibrium that implements the commitment solution always exists. Second, we show how delegation to a policy-maker with an additional objective for the policy instrument can be used to implement the commitment solution via a standard discretionary Markov equilibrium. Implementation is facilitated by the fact that the commitment outcome can be attained irrespective of the weight that the policy-maker assigns to the additional target. Using the standard new Keynesian model as an example, we study the dynamics of the economy under optimal additional output targets as well as optimal interest-rate targets for central banks.
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