{"title":"日本经济的总体和企业层面波动","authors":"Young Gak Kim, Hyeog Ug Kwon","doi":"10.1111/jere.12132","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this paper, we investigate the volatility of sales at the firm and the aggregate level using the longitudinal data set of the <i>Financial Statements Statistics of Corporations</i> (FSSC). The main findings are as follows. First, firm-level volatility decreased until the mid-1990s, but then increased again. Second, aggregate-level volatility steadily decreased until the mid-1990s and remained low after that. Third, decomposing the total variance of the growth rate of aggregated sales, we find that the divergence between firm-level and aggregate-level volatility is caused by the drastic decline and subsequent low level of the covariance of sales growth between different firms and the increase in individual firms' sales volatility.</p>","PeriodicalId":45642,"journal":{"name":"Japanese Economic Review","volume":"68 2","pages":"158-172"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2016-11-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/jere.12132","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Aggregate and Firm-level Volatility in the Japanese Economy\",\"authors\":\"Young Gak Kim, Hyeog Ug Kwon\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jere.12132\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>In this paper, we investigate the volatility of sales at the firm and the aggregate level using the longitudinal data set of the <i>Financial Statements Statistics of Corporations</i> (FSSC). The main findings are as follows. First, firm-level volatility decreased until the mid-1990s, but then increased again. Second, aggregate-level volatility steadily decreased until the mid-1990s and remained low after that. Third, decomposing the total variance of the growth rate of aggregated sales, we find that the divergence between firm-level and aggregate-level volatility is caused by the drastic decline and subsequent low level of the covariance of sales growth between different firms and the increase in individual firms' sales volatility.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":45642,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Japanese Economic Review\",\"volume\":\"68 2\",\"pages\":\"158-172\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-11-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/jere.12132\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Japanese Economic Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jere.12132\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Japanese Economic Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jere.12132","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Aggregate and Firm-level Volatility in the Japanese Economy
In this paper, we investigate the volatility of sales at the firm and the aggregate level using the longitudinal data set of the Financial Statements Statistics of Corporations (FSSC). The main findings are as follows. First, firm-level volatility decreased until the mid-1990s, but then increased again. Second, aggregate-level volatility steadily decreased until the mid-1990s and remained low after that. Third, decomposing the total variance of the growth rate of aggregated sales, we find that the divergence between firm-level and aggregate-level volatility is caused by the drastic decline and subsequent low level of the covariance of sales growth between different firms and the increase in individual firms' sales volatility.
期刊介绍:
Started in 1950 by a group of leading Japanese economists under the title The Economic Studies Quarterly, the journal became the official publication of the Japanese Economic Association in 1959. As its successor, The Japanese Economic Review has become the Japanese counterpart of The American Economic Review, publishing substantial economic analysis of the highest quality across the whole field of economics from researchers both within and outside Japan. It also welcomes innovative and thought-provoking contributions with strong relevance to real economic issues, whether political, theoretical or policy-oriented.