P1A航路现货价格预测

P. Giannakopoulou, P. Chountas
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这个项目的目标是双重的。首先,研究人员希望在多个金融和航运相关指标之间进行识别,这些指标对伦敦波罗的海交易所每天发布的P1A巴拿马型航线的现货航程定期租船价格估计具有统计显著影响。其次,本文的重要目标是检验多个多变量特征模型(基于第一个目标的结果)和单变量时间序列模型的预测能力,以回答“P1A航线明天的预计航次租船价格是多少?”的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting the Spot Price of P1A Shipping Route
The objective of this project is twofold. Firstly, researchers wants to identify between multiple financial and shipping related measures, the features that have statistically significant impact on the estimation of the spot voyage time charter price of P1A Panamax shipping route which is daily issued from the London-based Baltic Exchange. Secondly, significant objective of this thesis is to examine the predictive ability of multiple multivariant feature models (based on the results of the first objective) and of single variable time series models answering to the question “What is the estimated voyage time charter price of P1A shipping route for tomorrow?”.
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