意外后果：模糊忽略与政策无效。

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-02-01 DOI:10.1057/s41302-021-00187-7

Lorán Chollete, Sharon G Harrison

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引用次数: 0

摘要

当政策制定者推出一项新政策时，她并不知道公民在该政策下会做出怎样的选择，而公民自己也可能不得不构建新的选择集。这就给新政策的实施带来了内在的模糊性：政策制定者不知道公民选择符合其政策的行动的概率。假定公民会遵循固定的方法，可能会使决策者忽视模糊性，从而导致意想不到的后果。我们提供了一些例子和一个简单的形式化方法。我们的结果表明，在实施新政策之前，政策制定者应尝试从公民那里获得偏好。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

Unintended Consequences: Ambiguity Neglect and Policy Ineffectiveness.

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Unintended Consequences: Ambiguity Neglect and Policy Ineffectiveness.

When a policymaker introduces a novel policy, she will not know what citizens' choices will be under the policy, and citizens themselves may have to construct new choice sets. This imparts inherent ambiguity to novel policy implementation: The policymaker does not know the probability that citizens will select actions that align with her policy. Assuming that citizens will follow a fixed approach may expose the policymaker to ambiguity neglect, which can result in unintended consequences. We provide examples and a simple formalization. Our results suggest that before implementing novel policies, policymakers should attempt to elicit preferences from citizens.

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.