在麻醉前会诊前使用MyRISK数字评分完成患者围手术期风险评估:前瞻性观察研究

Fabrice Ferré, Rodolphe Laurent, Philippine Furelau, Emmanuel Doumard, Anne Ferrier, Laetitia Bosch, Cyndie Ba, Rémi Menut, Matt Kurrek, Thomas Geeraerts, Antoine Piau, Vincent Minville
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引用次数: 1

摘要

背景:持续的COVID-19大流行凸显了数字卫生解决方案在危机背景下调整护理组织的潜力。目的:我们的目的是描述MyRISK评分(由聊天机器人在麻醉前会诊前收集的自我报告数据得出)与术后并发症发生之间的关系。方法:这是一项包括401例患者的单中心前瞻性观察性研究。采用德尔菲法选取构成MyRISK评分的16个项目。采用一种算法对低(绿色)、中(橙色)和高(红色)风险患者进行分层。主要终点涉及术后前6个月发生的术后并发症(综合标准),通过电话和查阅电子医疗数据库收集。进行逻辑回归分析以确定与并发症相关的解释变量。机器学习模型被训练来预测MyRISK评分,使用1823个被分类为绿色或红色的患者的更大数据集,将被分类为橙色的个体重新分类为修改绿色或修改红色。评估了用户满意度和可用性。结果:在389例患者中,16例(4.1%)出现了术后并发症。红色评分与术后并发症独立相关(优势比5.9,95% CI 1.5-22.3;P = .009)。改良红色评分与术后并发症密切相关(优势比21.8,95% CI 2.8-171.5;P= 0.003),预测术后并发症具有高敏感性(94%)和高阴性预测值(99%),但低特异性(49%)和极低阳性预测值(7%);受者工作特征曲线下面积=0.71)。患者满意度数值评定量表和系统可用性量表的中位数得分分别为8.0 (IQR 7.0-9.0)和90.0 (IQR 82.5-95.0)(满分为100)。结论:麻醉前会诊前建立的MyRISK数字围手术期风险评分与术后并发症的发生独立相关。使用机器学习模型对确定为中等风险的患者进行重新分类,增加了其负预测强度。这种可靠的数字分类可以客观地为低风险患者提供远程会诊。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Perioperative Risk Assessment of Patients Using the MyRISK Digital Score Completed Before the Preanesthetic Consultation: Prospective Observational Study.

Perioperative Risk Assessment of Patients Using the MyRISK Digital Score Completed Before the Preanesthetic Consultation: Prospective Observational Study.

Perioperative Risk Assessment of Patients Using the MyRISK Digital Score Completed Before the Preanesthetic Consultation: Prospective Observational Study.

Perioperative Risk Assessment of Patients Using the MyRISK Digital Score Completed Before the Preanesthetic Consultation: Prospective Observational Study.

Background: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the potential of digital health solutions to adapt the organization of care in a crisis context.

Objective: Our aim was to describe the relationship between the MyRISK score, derived from self-reported data collected by a chatbot before the preanesthetic consultation, and the occurrence of postoperative complications.

Methods: This was a single-center prospective observational study that included 401 patients. The 16 items composing the MyRISK score were selected using the Delphi method. An algorithm was used to stratify patients with low (green), intermediate (orange), and high (red) risk. The primary end point concerned postoperative complications occurring in the first 6 months after surgery (composite criterion), collected by telephone and by consulting the electronic medical database. A logistic regression analysis was carried out to identify the explanatory variables associated with the complications. A machine learning model was trained to predict the MyRISK score using a larger data set of 1823 patients classified as green or red to reclassify individuals classified as orange as either modified green or modified red. User satisfaction and usability were assessed.

Results: Of the 389 patients analyzed for the primary end point, 16 (4.1%) experienced a postoperative complication. A red score was independently associated with postoperative complications (odds ratio 5.9, 95% CI 1.5-22.3; P=.009). A modified red score was strongly correlated with postoperative complications (odds ratio 21.8, 95% CI 2.8-171.5; P=.003) and predicted postoperative complications with high sensitivity (94%) and high negative predictive value (99%) but with low specificity (49%) and very low positive predictive value (7%; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve=0.71). Patient satisfaction numeric rating scale and system usability scale median scores were 8.0 (IQR 7.0-9.0) out of 10 and 90.0 (IQR 82.5-95.0) out of 100, respectively.

Conclusions: The MyRISK digital perioperative risk score established before the preanesthetic consultation was independently associated with the occurrence of postoperative complications. Its negative predictive strength was increased using a machine learning model to reclassify patients identified as being at intermediate risk. This reliable numerical categorization could be used to objectively refer patients with low risk to teleconsultation.

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