{"title":"未知变化后参数的主动最快检测渐近最优理论","authors":"Qunzhi Xu, Yajun Mei","doi":"10.1080/07474946.2023.2187417","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The active quickest detection problem with unknown post-change parameters is studied under the sampling control constraint, where there are <i>p</i> local streams in a system but one is only able to take observations from one and only one of these <i>p</i> local streams at each time instant. The objective is to raise a correct alarm as quickly as possible once the change occurs subject to both false alarm and sampling control constraints. Here we assume that exactly one of the <i>p</i> local streams is affected, and the post-change distribution involves unknown parameters. In this context, we propose an efficient greedy-cyclic-sampling-based quickest detection algorithm, and show that our proposed algorithm is asymptotically optimal in the sense of minimizing the detection delay under both false alarm and sampling control constraints. Numerical studies are conducted to show the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed algorithm.</p>","PeriodicalId":48879,"journal":{"name":"Sequential Analysis-Design Methods and Applications","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10462384/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Asymptotic Optimality Theory for Active Quickest Detection with Unknown PostChange Parameters.\",\"authors\":\"Qunzhi Xu, Yajun Mei\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/07474946.2023.2187417\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The active quickest detection problem with unknown post-change parameters is studied under the sampling control constraint, where there are <i>p</i> local streams in a system but one is only able to take observations from one and only one of these <i>p</i> local streams at each time instant. The objective is to raise a correct alarm as quickly as possible once the change occurs subject to both false alarm and sampling control constraints. Here we assume that exactly one of the <i>p</i> local streams is affected, and the post-change distribution involves unknown parameters. In this context, we propose an efficient greedy-cyclic-sampling-based quickest detection algorithm, and show that our proposed algorithm is asymptotically optimal in the sense of minimizing the detection delay under both false alarm and sampling control constraints. Numerical studies are conducted to show the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed algorithm.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48879,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Sequential Analysis-Design Methods and Applications\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10462384/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Sequential Analysis-Design Methods and Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/07474946.2023.2187417\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2023/5/23 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Sequential Analysis-Design Methods and Applications","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/07474946.2023.2187417","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2023/5/23 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
在采样控制约束条件下,研究了具有未知变化后参数的主动最快检测问题,即系统中有 p 个本地流,但在每个时间瞬时只能从这 p 个本地流中的一个进行观测。我们的目标是,一旦发生变化,在误报和采样控制的约束下,尽快发出正确的警报。在此,我们假设 p 个本地流中正好有一个受到影响,而变化后的分布涉及未知参数。在这种情况下,我们提出了一种高效的基于贪婪循环采样的最快检测算法,并证明了我们提出的算法在误报和采样控制约束条件下检测延迟最小的意义上是渐近最优的。我们还进行了数值研究,以证明所提算法的有效性和适用性。
Asymptotic Optimality Theory for Active Quickest Detection with Unknown PostChange Parameters.
The active quickest detection problem with unknown post-change parameters is studied under the sampling control constraint, where there are p local streams in a system but one is only able to take observations from one and only one of these p local streams at each time instant. The objective is to raise a correct alarm as quickly as possible once the change occurs subject to both false alarm and sampling control constraints. Here we assume that exactly one of the p local streams is affected, and the post-change distribution involves unknown parameters. In this context, we propose an efficient greedy-cyclic-sampling-based quickest detection algorithm, and show that our proposed algorithm is asymptotically optimal in the sense of minimizing the detection delay under both false alarm and sampling control constraints. Numerical studies are conducted to show the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed algorithm.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of Sequential Analysis is to contribute to theoretical and applied aspects of sequential methodologies in all areas of statistical science. Published papers highlight the development of new and important sequential approaches.
Interdisciplinary articles that emphasize the methodology of practical value to applied researchers and statistical consultants are highly encouraged. Papers that cover contemporary areas of applications including animal abundance, bioequivalence, communication science, computer simulations, data mining, directional data, disease mapping, environmental sampling, genome, imaging, microarrays, networking, parallel processing, pest management, sonar detection, spatial statistics, tracking, and engineering are deemed especially important. Of particular value are expository review articles that critically synthesize broad-based statistical issues. Papers on case-studies are also considered. All papers are refereed.