{"title":"对人际效应和人内效应进行分解的跨层次协方差方法。","authors":"Kazuki Hori, Yasuo Miyazaki","doi":"10.1037/met0000548","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In longitudinal studies, researchers are often interested in investigating relations between variables over time. A well-known issue in such a situation is that naively regressing an outcome on a predictor results in a coefficient that is a weighted average of the between-person and within-person effect, which is difficult to interpret. This article focuses on the cross-level covariance approach to disaggregating the two effects. Unlike the traditional centering/detrending approach, the cross-level covariance approach estimates the within-person effect by correlating the within-level observed variables with the between-level latent factors; thereby, partialing out the between-person association from the within-level predictor. With this key device kept, we develop novel latent growth curve models, which can estimate the between-person effects of the predictor's change rate. The proposed models are compared with an existing cross-level covariance model and a centering/detrending model through a real data analysis and a small simulation. The real data analysis shows that the interpretation of the effect parameters and other between-level parameters depends on how a model deals with the time-varying predictors. The simulation reveals that our proposed models can unbiasedly estimate the between- and within-person effects but tend to be more unstable than the existing models. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":20782,"journal":{"name":"Psychological methods","volume":" ","pages":"340-373"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Cross-level covariance approach to the disaggregation of between-person effect and within-person effect.\",\"authors\":\"Kazuki Hori, Yasuo Miyazaki\",\"doi\":\"10.1037/met0000548\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>In longitudinal studies, researchers are often interested in investigating relations between variables over time. A well-known issue in such a situation is that naively regressing an outcome on a predictor results in a coefficient that is a weighted average of the between-person and within-person effect, which is difficult to interpret. This article focuses on the cross-level covariance approach to disaggregating the two effects. Unlike the traditional centering/detrending approach, the cross-level covariance approach estimates the within-person effect by correlating the within-level observed variables with the between-level latent factors; thereby, partialing out the between-person association from the within-level predictor. With this key device kept, we develop novel latent growth curve models, which can estimate the between-person effects of the predictor's change rate. The proposed models are compared with an existing cross-level covariance model and a centering/detrending model through a real data analysis and a small simulation. The real data analysis shows that the interpretation of the effect parameters and other between-level parameters depends on how a model deals with the time-varying predictors. The simulation reveals that our proposed models can unbiasedly estimate the between- and within-person effects but tend to be more unstable than the existing models. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":20782,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Psychological methods\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"340-373\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Psychological methods\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"102\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000548\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"心理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2023/1/9 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Psychological methods","FirstCategoryId":"102","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000548","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2023/1/9 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
在纵向研究中,研究人员通常有兴趣调查变量之间随时间变化的关系。在这种情况下,一个众所周知的问题是,天真地将结果与预测因子进行回归,得出的系数是人际效应和人内效应的加权平均值,这很难解释。本文重点介绍分解两种效应的跨层次协方差方法。与传统的居中/去趋势方法不同,跨层协方差方法通过将层内观测变量与层间潜在因素相关联来估计人内效应,从而将人与人之间的关联从层内预测因子中分离出来。有了这一关键设备,我们开发了新的潜增长曲线模型,可以估计预测因子变化率的人际效应。我们通过实际数据分析和小型模拟,将所提出的模型与现有的跨水平协方差模型和中心化/趋势化模型进行了比较。真实数据分析表明,效应参数和其他水平间参数的解释取决于模型如何处理时变预测因子。模拟结果表明,我们提出的模型可以无偏估计人与人之间和人与人之间的效应,但与现有模型相比往往更不稳定。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved)。
Cross-level covariance approach to the disaggregation of between-person effect and within-person effect.
In longitudinal studies, researchers are often interested in investigating relations between variables over time. A well-known issue in such a situation is that naively regressing an outcome on a predictor results in a coefficient that is a weighted average of the between-person and within-person effect, which is difficult to interpret. This article focuses on the cross-level covariance approach to disaggregating the two effects. Unlike the traditional centering/detrending approach, the cross-level covariance approach estimates the within-person effect by correlating the within-level observed variables with the between-level latent factors; thereby, partialing out the between-person association from the within-level predictor. With this key device kept, we develop novel latent growth curve models, which can estimate the between-person effects of the predictor's change rate. The proposed models are compared with an existing cross-level covariance model and a centering/detrending model through a real data analysis and a small simulation. The real data analysis shows that the interpretation of the effect parameters and other between-level parameters depends on how a model deals with the time-varying predictors. The simulation reveals that our proposed models can unbiasedly estimate the between- and within-person effects but tend to be more unstable than the existing models. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
期刊介绍:
Psychological Methods is devoted to the development and dissemination of methods for collecting, analyzing, understanding, and interpreting psychological data. Its purpose is the dissemination of innovations in research design, measurement, methodology, and quantitative and qualitative analysis to the psychological community; its further purpose is to promote effective communication about related substantive and methodological issues. The audience is expected to be diverse and to include those who develop new procedures, those who are responsible for undergraduate and graduate training in design, measurement, and statistics, as well as those who employ those procedures in research.