在2006-2018年期间波兰卢布林省头颈部损伤患者中使用基于国际分类ICD-10的神经网络作为持续损伤结果的预测价值。

IF 1.3 4区 医学 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Mariusz Jojczuk, Piotr Kamiński, Jakub Gajewski, Robert Karpiński, Przemysław Krakowski, Józef Jonak, Adam Nogalski, Dariusz Głuchowski
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引用次数: 1

摘要

前言和目的:头颈部损伤在临床病程和预后方面都是一个异质性的群体。多年来,人们一直试图创造一种理想的工具来预测损伤的结果和严重程度。本研究的目的是评估使用选定的人工智能方法预测头颈部损伤的结果。材料和方法:回顾性分析2006年至2018年期间在卢布林省医院接受治疗的连续6824例头颈部损伤患者,其数据由国家公共卫生研究所/国家卫生研究所提供。采用《国际疾病和相关健康问题统计分类(第十次修订)》对患者进行鉴定。采用多层感知器(MLP)结构进行数值研究。神经网络训练采用BFGS (Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno)方法。结果:在设计的网络中,死亡组的分类效率最高(80.7%)。所有分析病例正确分类的平均值为66%。影响损伤患者预后的最重要变量是诊断(权重1.929)。性别和年龄为不显著变量,权重分别为1.08和1.073。结论:由于大量病例和大量死亡与特定诊断相关联,阻碍了神经网络的设计(S06)。人工神经网络对死亡率的预测值为80.7%,是一种很有前途的预测工具;但是,为了提高网络的预测值,需要在算法中引入额外的变量。需要进一步的研究,包括其他类型的损伤和其他变量,将这种方法引入临床应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Use of neural network based on international classification ICD-10 in patients with head and neck injuries in Lublin Province, Poland, between 2006-2018, as a predictive value of the outcomes of injury sustained.

Introduction and objective: Head and neck injuries are a heterogeneous group in terms of both clinical course and prognosis. For years, there have been attempts to create an ideal tool to predict the outcomes and severity of injuries. The aim of this study was evaluation of the use of selected artificial intelligence methods for outcome predictions of head and neck injuries.

Material and methods: 6,824 consecutive cases of patients who sustained head and neck injuries, treated in hospitals in the Lublin Province between 2006-2018, whose data was provided by National Institute of Public Health / National Institute of Hygiene, were analyzed retrospectively. Patients were qualified using International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (10th Revision). The multilayer perceptron (MLP) structure was utilized in numerical studies. Neural network training was achieved with the Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno (BFGS) method.

Results: In the designed network, the highest classification efficiency was obtained for the group of deaths (80.7%). The average value of correct classifications for all analyzed cases was 66%. The most important variable influencing the prognosis of an injured patient was diagnosis (weight 1.929). Gender and age were variables of less significance with weight 1.08 and 1.073, respectively.

Conclusions: Designing a neural network was hindered due to the large amount of cases and linking of a large number of deaths with specific diagnosis (S06). With a predictive value of 80.7% for mortality, ANN can be a promising tool in the future; however, additional variables should be introduced into the algorithm to increase the predictive value of the network. Further studies, including other types of injuries and additional variables, are needed to introduce this method into clinical use.

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来源期刊
Annals of Agricultural and Environmental Medicine
Annals of Agricultural and Environmental Medicine 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
5.90%
发文量
58
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: All papers within the scope indicated by the following sections of the journal may be submitted: Biological agents posing occupational risk in agriculture, forestry, food industry and wood industry and diseases caused by these agents (zoonoses, allergic and immunotoxic diseases). Health effects of chemical pollutants in agricultural areas , including occupational and non-occupational effects of agricultural chemicals (pesticides, fertilizers) and effects of industrial disposal (heavy metals, sulphur, etc.) contaminating the atmosphere, soil and water. Exposure to physical hazards associated with the use of machinery in agriculture and forestry: noise, vibration, dust. Prevention of occupational diseases in agriculture, forestry, food industry and wood industry. Work-related accidents and injuries in agriculture, forestry, food industry and wood industry: incidence, causes, social aspects and prevention. State of the health of rural communities depending on various factors: social factors, accessibility of medical care, etc.
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