估计墨西哥Prospera项目有条件现金转移的经济和社会影响

IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY
L. Dary Beltran, M. Carmen Delgado
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究通过可计算的一般均衡模型分析了Prospera计划对贫困和收入分配的影响。它得出的结论是,转移到家庭对墨西哥经济有积极影响,但掩盖了真正的问题——低工资份额——从长远来看,这可以防止贫困恶化,但不会减少贫困或不平等人口。在没有转移的情况下,贫困人口和基尼指数都没有显著下降。所获得的结果使人们了解了墨西哥高贫困率和不平等的一些原因,而这种情况自1995年经济危机以来一直存在。这使得能够根据经济的结构性需求设计公共政策,从根源上解决问题,从而根据联合国可持续发展目标10为减少不平等做出贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating the economic and social impact of conditional cash transfers from the Prospera Program in Mexico

This research analyses the Prospera program's impact on poverty and income distribution through a computable general equilibrium model. It concludes that transfers to households have a positive impact on the Mexican economy but hide the real problem—the low wage share—that, in the long term, prevents poverty from worsening but does not reduce the population in poverty or inequality. In a scenario without transfers, neither the population in poverty nor the Gini Index decreases significantly.

The results obtained lead to an understanding of some of the causes of the high rates of poverty and inequality in Mexico, which in turn have been perpetuated since the economic crisis of 1995. This allows the design of public policies in line with the structural needs of the economy, which combat the problem from the root that generates it, in order to contribute to the reduction of inequality in accordance with the UN Sustainable Development Goal 10.

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来源期刊
Evaluation and Program Planning
Evaluation and Program Planning SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
6.20%
发文量
112
期刊介绍: Evaluation and Program Planning is based on the principle that the techniques and methods of evaluation and planning transcend the boundaries of specific fields and that relevant contributions to these areas come from people representing many different positions, intellectual traditions, and interests. In order to further the development of evaluation and planning, we publish articles from the private and public sectors in a wide range of areas: organizational development and behavior, training, planning, human resource development, health and mental, social services, mental retardation, corrections, substance abuse, and education.
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