Incidence and treatment outcomes of pulmonary tuberculosis in Islamic Republic of Iran.

Abstract

Background: Pulmonary tuberculosis is the most common type of tuberculosis and few studies have investigated the incidence and treatment outcome of smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis in Golestan Province, Islamic Republic of Iran.

Aims: To estimate the cumulative incidence and trends in incidence of smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis in Golestan Province between 2014 and 2019, and to determine the treatment outcomes.

Methods: All smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis cases between 2014 and 2019 recorded in the tuberculosis registry in Golestan Province, Islamic Republic of Iran, were included in this study. The yearly incidence and cumulative incidence were calculated, and differences by sex and residence were examined. Treatment outcomes classified as success and failure were determined. The Mann-Kendall test was used to assess the significance of the trend in incidence.

Results: A total of 2047 smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis cases were evaluated. The cumulative incidence was 18.52 [95% confidence intervals (CI): 17.72-19.33] per 100 000 population during 2014-2019. The incidence of smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis declined from 23.84 (95% CI: 21.57-26.11) per 100 000 population in 2014 to 15.02 (95% CI: 13.29- 16.75) in 2019. Incidence rate was higher among men and among rural residents. Most patients (85.34%) were cured, 2.05% completed their treatment, 1.17% were lost to follow-up, 4.40% had treatment failure, and 6.45% died.

Conclusion: The incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in Golestan Province, Islamic Republic of Iran, declined during the period of study. However, the proportion of patients who were cured decreased and the proportion who died increased. Interventions are needed to improve the treatment success rate for pulmonary tuberculosis in the province.