Worldwide comparison between the potential distribution of Rhipicephalus microplus (Acari: Ixodidae) under climate change scenarios

IF 1.6 3区 农林科学 Q2 ENTOMOLOGY
M. B. Perez-Martinez, D. A. Moo-Llanes, C. N. Ibarra-Cerdeña, D. Romero-Salas, A. Cruz-Romero, K. M. López-Hernández, M. Aguilar-Dominguez
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Abstract

The cattle tick Rhipicephalus microplus (Acari: Ixodidae) has demonstrated its ability to increase its distribution raising spatially its importance as a vector for zoonotic hemotropic pathogens. In this study, a global ecological niche model of R. microplus was built in different scenarios using Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP), Socio-Economic Pathway (SSP), and a climatic dataset to determine where the species could establish itself and thus affect the variability in the presentation of the hemotropic diseases they transmit. America, Africa and Oceania showed a higher probability for the presence of R. microplus in contrast to some countries in Europe and Asia in the ecological niche for the current period (1970–2000), but with the climate change, there was an increase in the ratio between the geographic range preserved between the RCP and SSP scenarios obtaining the greatest gain in the interplay of RCP4.5-SSP245. Our results allow to determine future changes in the distribution of the cattle tick according to the increase in environmental temperature and socio-economic development influenced by human development activities and trends; this work explores the possibility of designing integral maps between the vector and specific diseases.

Abstract Image

气候变化情景下微小棘头蜱(蜱亚纲:伊蚊科)全球潜在分布比较
牛蜱Rhipischalus microplus(Acari:Ixodiae)已证明其增加分布的能力,这在空间上提高了其作为人畜共患性嗜血病原体载体的重要性。在本研究中,建立了R的全球生态位模型。 使用代表性浓度途径(RCP)、社会经济途径(SSP)和气候数据集,在不同的场景中构建了microplus,以确定该物种可以在哪里建立自己,从而影响其传播的嗜血疾病表现的可变性。美洲、非洲和大洋洲出现R的可能性较高。 与当前时期(1970年至2000年)欧洲和亚洲的一些生态位国家相比,microplus,但随着气候变化,RCP和SSP情景之间保留的地理范围之间的比例增加,在RCP4.5-SSP245的相互作用中获得了最大的收益。我们的研究结果可以根据环境温度的升高和受人类发展活动和趋势影响的社会经济发展来确定牛蜱分布的未来变化;这项工作探索了在媒介和特定疾病之间设计积分图的可能性。
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来源期刊
Medical and Veterinary Entomology
Medical and Veterinary Entomology 农林科学-昆虫学
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
5.30%
发文量
65
审稿时长
12-24 weeks
期刊介绍: Medical and Veterinary Entomology is the leading periodical in its field. The Journal covers the biology and control of insects, ticks, mites and other arthropods of medical and veterinary importance. The main strengths of the Journal lie in the fields of: -epidemiology and transmission of vector-borne pathogens changes in vector distribution that have impact on the pathogen transmission- arthropod behaviour and ecology- novel, field evaluated, approaches to biological and chemical control methods- host arthropod interactions. Please note that we do not consider submissions in forensic entomology.
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