Maritime transport and regional climate change impacts in large EU islands and archipelagos.

IF 1.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
George Zittis, Bodo Ahrens, Anika Obermann-Hellhund, Elias Giannakis, Danny Risto, Miguel Agulles Gamez, Gabriel Jorda, Mónica Quesada Peña, Veronica Lora Rodríguez, Jose Luis Guersi Sauret, Piero Lionello, Elodie Briche, Julie Collignan, Matthias Grätz, Damian Arikas, Constantinos Stylianou, Haris Neophytou, Despina Serghides
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Maritime transport is a vital sector for global trade and the world economy. Particularly for islands, there is also an important social dimension of this sector, since island communities strongly rely on it for a connection with the mainland and the transportation of goods and passengers. Furthermore, islands are exceptionally vulnerable to climate change, as the rising sea level and extreme events are expected to induce severe impacts. Such hazards are anticipated to also affect the operations of the maritime transport sector by affecting either the port infrastructure or ships en route. The present study is an effort to better comprehend and assess the future risk of maritime transport disruption in six European islands and archipelagos, and it aims at supporting regional to local policy and decision-making. We employ state-of-the-art regional climate datasets and the widely used impact chain approach to identify the different components that might drive such risks. Larger islands (e.g., Corsica, Cyprus and Crete) are found to be more resilient to the impacts of climate change on maritime operations. Our findings also highlight the importance of adopting a low-emission pathway, since this will keep the risk of maritime transport disruption similar to present levels or even slightly decreased for some islands because of an enhanced adaptation capacity and advantageous demographic changes.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s41207-023-00370-6.

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欧盟大型岛屿和群岛的海上运输和区域气候变化影响。
海运是全球贸易和世界经济的重要部门。特别是对于岛屿来说,这一部门还有一个重要的社会层面,因为岛屿社区在与大陆的联系以及货物和乘客的运输方面都强烈依赖它。此外,岛屿特别容易受到气候变化的影响,因为海平面上升和极端事件预计会造成严重影响。预计这种危险还会影响港口基础设施或途中船只,从而影响海运部门的运作。本研究旨在更好地理解和评估欧洲六个岛屿和群岛未来海上运输中断的风险,旨在支持区域到地方的政策和决策。我们使用最先进的区域气候数据集和广泛使用的影响链方法来识别可能导致此类风险的不同组成部分。较大的岛屿(如科西嘉岛、塞浦路斯和克里特岛)更能抵御气候变化对海上作业的影响。我们的研究结果还强调了采用低排放途径的重要性,因为这将使一些岛屿的海上运输中断风险与目前水平相似,甚至略有降低,因为适应能力增强,人口结构发生了有利变化。补充信息:在线版本包含补充材料,网址为10.1007/s41207-023-00370-6。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
5.00%
发文量
45
期刊介绍: 1) Aims & Scope: Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration (EMJE) is a regional peer-reviewed journal that presents original research studies and reviews in all areas of the Environmental Sciences from the Mediterranean and surrounding regions. The journal highlights research into potential solutions for environmental concerns and protection requirements on the basis of innovative approaches that contribute to preserving a sustainable environment in the region. In particular, the journal’s goal is to provide a scientific forum that promotes the exchange of knowledge and fosters collaborations between the countries of the northern and southern shores of the Mediterranean. In addition, the journal seeks to make decision makers from related sectors aware of the importance of integrating environmental considerations into their respective activities. It combines a unique focus on interdisciplinary cooperation (natural sciences, technology and engineering, and social sciences) with the broader focus on solution-based sustainability research, combined with regional specification: Euro-Mediterranean area (encompasses all the European countries and the countries on the Mediterranean Rim). 2) Major Topics / Submission Tracks: Authors submit by selecting the appropriate major topic (subject category) among 13 topics, each is managed by a Chief Editor: Track 1. Engineering applications for environmental management Track 2. Process control, simulations and intensification for environmental management Track 3. Ecotoxicology, environmental safety and bioremediation Track 4. Biotechnology for environmental management Track 5. Climate-change-related effects on the environment and ecological systems Track 6. Natural resources, agriculture and the environment Track 7. Smart technologies for environmentally friendly energy production Track 8. Remote sensing and GIS for environmental monitoring and management Track 9. Environmental impacts of natural hazards and environmental risk assessment Track 10. Sustainable management of marine and coastal environments Track 11. Sustainable management of the urban environment, the indoor and built environment Track 12. Ecosystems and biodiversity conservation Track 13. Environmental-change-related impacts on human, animal, and ecosystem health 3) Environmental Integration: Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration seeks to make decision makers from related sectors aware of the importance of integrating environmental considerations into their respective activities. The integration of environmental concerns into policy decisions (Environmental Integration) must be intensified in order to move towards sustainable development. In this context, the journal supports the European Commission – Environment and other official organizations in the region in their mission to protect, preserve and improve the Euro-Mediterranean environment for present and future generations. 4) Evaluation process: After technical check and screening for English quality all new submissions are automatically screened using CrossCheck within the editorial system to detect cases of suspected plagiarism. Editors are also able to run a similarity report at any other point during the review process or post-publication. All manuscripts are subject to a double-blind peer review process during at least 2 rounds coordinated by a Chief Editor responsible for the respective submission track (major topic). The average time from submission until the final decision is eight months. The acceptance rate is around 30%. The evaluation workflow is supervised and monitored by 2 Editors-in-Chief, one based on the northern shore of the Mediterranean and the other on the southern shore. 5) Indexation: Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration is published by Springer in collaboration with scientists based around the Mediterranean basin. It has started publishing its first volume in 2016. In 2019, it has achieved successfully the Web of Science ESCI indexation. It is currently under evaluation for indexation by Scopus. 6) Journal''s Conference: Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration has its own conference aiming at gathering scientists from both shores of the Mediterranean to discuss the newest findings on the most pressing environmental issues: 1st Euro-Mediterranean Conference for Environmental Integration (www.emcei.net/2017) 2nd Euro-Mediterranean Conference for Environmental Integration (www.emcei.net) The Proceedings of the 1st EMCEI has been indexed in the Web of Science Conference Proceedings Citation Index – Science (CPCI-S). The Proceedings of the 2nd EMCEI will appear on Springer Series Environmental Science and Engineering which is indexed in Scopus. Link to EMCEI Proceedings: https://link.springer.com/conference/emcei 7) Journal''s Editorial Meeting: The editorial meeting of the journal is held every year on the first day of EMCEI (journal''s conference). 8) Journal Editorial Policy: Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration is committed to upholding the integrity of the scientific record. As a member of the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE) the journal will follow the COPE guidelines on how to deal with potential acts of misconduct. Authors should refrain from misrepresenting research results which could damage the trust in the journal and ultimately the entire scientific endeavor. Maintaining integrity of the research and its presentation can be achieved by following the rules of good scientific practice as detailed here: https://www.springer.com/us/editorial-policies
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