Domestic abuse in the Covid-19 pandemic: measures designed to overcome common limitations of trend measurement.

IF 3.1 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY
Crime Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-13 DOI:10.1186/s40163-023-00190-7
Sarah Hodgkinson, Anthony Dixon, Eric Halford, Graham Farrell
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Research on pandemic domestic abuse trends has produced inconsistent findings reflecting differences in definitions, data and method. This study analyses 43,488 domestic abuse crimes recorded by a UK police force. Metrics and analytic approaches are tailored to address key methodological issues in three key ways. First, it was hypothesised that reporting rates changed during lockdown, so natural language processing was used to interrogate untapped free-text information in police records to develop a novel indicator of change in reporting. Second, it was hypothesised that abuse would change differentially for those cohabiting (due to physical proximity) compared to non-cohabitees, which was assessed via a proxy measure. Third, the analytic approaches used were change-point analysis and anomaly detection: these are more independent than regression analysis for present purposes in gauging the timing and duration of significant change. However, the main findings were largely contrary to expectation: (1) domestic abuse did not increase during the first national lockdown in early 2020 but increased across a prolonged post-lockdown period, (2) the post-lockdown increase did not reflect change in reporting by victims, and; (3) the proportion of abuse between cohabiting partners, at around 40 percent of the total, did not increase significantly during or after the lockdown. The implications of these unanticipated findings are discussed.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40163-023-00190-7.

Abstract Image

新冠肺炎大流行中的家庭虐待:旨在克服趋势衡量的共同局限性的措施。
对大流行病家庭虐待趋势的研究得出了不一致的结论,反映了定义、数据和方法的差异。这项研究分析了英国警方记录的43488起家庭虐待犯罪。衡量标准和分析方法是专门为解决三个关键方法问题而制定的。首先,假设报告率在封锁期间发生了变化,因此使用自然语言处理来询问警方记录中未开发的自由文本信息,以开发报告变化的新指标。其次,假设同居者(由于身体接近)与非同居者相比,虐待行为会发生不同的变化,这是通过代理测量进行评估的。第三,使用的分析方法是变化点分析和异常检测:在衡量显著变化的时间和持续时间方面,这些方法比回归分析更独立。然而,主要调查结果在很大程度上与预期相反:(1)家庭虐待在2020年初第一次全国封锁期间没有增加,但在封锁后的很长一段时间内增加了;(2)封锁后的增加并没有反映出受害者报告的变化;(3) 同居伴侣之间的虐待比例约占总数的40%,在封锁期间或之后没有显著增加。讨论了这些意想不到的发现的含义。补充信息:在线版本包含补充材料,可访问10.1186/s40163-023-00190-7。
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来源期刊
Crime Science
Crime Science Social Sciences-Cultural Studies
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
8.20%
发文量
12
审稿时长
13 weeks
期刊介绍: Crime Science is an international, interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal with an applied focus. The journal''s main focus is on research articles and systematic reviews that reflect the growing cooperation among a variety of fields, including environmental criminology, economics, engineering, geography, public health, psychology, statistics and urban planning, on improving the detection, prevention and understanding of crime and disorder. Crime Science will publish theoretical articles that are relevant to the field, for example, approaches that integrate theories from different disciplines. The goal of the journal is to broaden the scientific base for the understanding, analysis and control of crime and disorder. It is aimed at researchers, practitioners and policy-makers with an interest in crime reduction. It will also publish short contributions on timely topics including crime patterns, technological advances for detection and prevention, and analytical techniques, and on the crime reduction applications of research from a wide range of fields. Crime Science publishes research articles, systematic reviews, short contributions and theoretical articles. While Crime Science uses the APA reference style, the journal welcomes submissions using alternative reference styles on a case-by-case basis.
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