Relocatable modular capacities in risk aware strategic supply network planning under demand uncertainty.

Ariane Kayser, Florian Sahling
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Abstract

We propose a new model formulation for a three-echelon supply network design problem incorporating the concept of relocatable modular capacities. A robust supply network configuration must be determined based on uncertain demand. Furthermore, by incorporating the conditional value at risk (CVaR), the risk induced by uncertain demand is explicitly considered. The derived supply network configuration should maximize the weighted sum of the expected net present value and the CVaR. The resulting nonlinear model formulation is approximated by a piecewise linearization. Our numerical investigation shows that the derived supply network configuration is robust and stable in the presence of uncertain demand.

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需求不确定性下风险感知战略供应网络规划中的可重新定位模块化能力。
我们提出了一个新的三梯队供应网络设计问题的模型公式,其中包含了可重新定位的模块化容量的概念。一个健壮的供应网络配置必须基于不确定的需求来确定。此外,通过引入条件风险值(CVaR),明确考虑了不确定需求引起的风险。推导出的供应网络配置应该使预期净现值和CVaR的加权总和最大化。所得的非线性模型公式由分段线性化近似。数值研究表明,在需求不确定的情况下,所建立的供给网络结构具有鲁棒性和稳定性。
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