A new correlation for calculating wellhead oil flow rate using artificial neural network

Abstract

A separator and multiphase flow meters are considered the most accurate tools used to measure the surface oil flow rates. However, these tools are expensive and time consuming. Thus, this study aims to develop a correlation for accurate and quick evaluation of well surface flow rates and consequently the well inflow performance relationship. In order to achieve the abovementioned aim, this study uses artificial neural network (ANN) for flow rates prediction particularly in artificial lifted wells especially in the absence of wellhead pressure data. The ANN model is developed and validated by utilizing 350 data points collected from numerous fields located in Nile Delta and Western Desert of Egypt with inputs include; wellhead temperature, gas liquid ratio, water cut, surface and bottomhole temperatures, water cut, surface production rates, tubing cross section area, and well depth. The results of this study show that, the collected data are distributed as follows; 60% for training, 30% for testing and 10% for the validation processes with R² of 0.96 and mean square error (MSE) of 0.02. A comparison study is implemented between the new ANN correlation and other published correlations (Gilbert, Ros and Achong correlations) to show the robustness of the developed correlation. The results show that the developed correlation able to predict oil flow rates accurately with the lowest mean square error.