The effects of dams in rivers on N and P export to the coastal waters in Indonesia in the future

Djoko Suwarno , Ansje Löhr , Carolien Kroeze , Budi Widianarko , Maryna Strokal
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

We used Global NEWS to analyze the effects of dams in large rivers on nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) inputs to the coastal waters of Indonesia for the period 1970–2050. We model N and P export by rivers, taking into account nutrient retention on land, during river transport and in dammed reservoirs. Our results indicate that N and P export by rivers to coastal seas may increase over time. In the past the N and P inputs to coastal waters of Indonesia were low and have increased relatively fast since 1970 as a result of human activities. For the coming decades we calculate that P inputs to coastal waters in Indonesia may double while N inputs may increase by up to 20%. Damming may slow down these increases to some extent. Our study illustrates that it is important in river nutrient export models to appropriately account for nutrient retention in dam waters.

未来河流中水坝对印尼沿海水域氮磷输出的影响
我们利用Global NEWS分析了1970-2050年大河大坝对印度尼西亚沿海水域氮和磷输入的影响。我们建立了河流输出氮和磷的模型,考虑了陆地、河流运输和水坝水库中的养分保留。我们的研究结果表明,随着时间的推移,河流向沿海海洋输出的氮和磷可能会增加。过去,由于人类活动,印度尼西亚沿海水域的氮和磷输入量很低,自1970年以来增加相对较快。根据我们的计算,在未来几十年,印度尼西亚沿海水域的磷输入可能会翻一番,而氮输入可能会增加20%。筑坝可能在一定程度上减缓这些增长。我们的研究表明,在河流养分输出模型中,适当地考虑大坝水体中的养分保留是很重要的。
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