SOME TRENDS OF THE WORLD REE MARKET AND PROSPECTS FOR RUSSIA

A. Gasanov, A. Naumov, O. V. Yurasova, I. Petrov, T. Litvinova
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The paper presents a review of some trends observed on the world market of rare-earth elements (REE). This review takes into account actual changes in the commercial and industrial policy of China and the current trends of REE consumption. Main characteristics of the modern REE markets are considered. The paper provides an assessment of world production volumes, world trade and prices. The article describes the REE market behavior in 2000–2020 and provides a forecast of main indicators and prices up to 2020. It contains a description of current world REE resources, production and trade over the main countries. In addition, the prices and the main buyers of REE are specified indicating the forecast of consumption. The prospects of the Russian REE market are estimated taking into account the «Development of the Rare and Rare-Earth Elements Industry» subprogram implemented as part of the State Program of the Russian Federation «Industry Development and Competitiveness Improvement». The purpose of the subprogram is to create a competitive rare-earth industry of an integrated production cycle in the Russian Federation in order to satisfy the needs of the domestic defense industry complex, civil industries and enter the foreign markets. It is noted that this subprogram should be upgraded with regard to changes in the market conditions and development of rare-earth elements production in the Russian Federation including by means of statutory, non-tariff and technical regulation. Loparite and apatite will remain the main sources of rare-earth elements as raw materials for industrial processing in Russia in the near future, while REE production from apatite will increase. It is emphasized that the prospects of REE development in Russia consist not so much in increasing the primary production as in establishing new plants consuming rare-earth products.
世界自由市场的发展趋势及对俄罗斯的展望
本文综述了世界稀土市场的一些趋势。本次评估考虑了中国商业和工业政策的实际变化以及当前稀土消费的趋势。分析了现代稀土市场的主要特征。这份文件提供了对世界产量、世界贸易和价格的评估。本文描述了2000-2020年的稀土市场行为,并对2020年前的主要指标和价格进行了预测。它包含了当前世界稀土资源,生产和贸易的主要国家的描述。此外,还对稀土的价格和主要买家进行了说明,以表明消费量的预测。俄罗斯稀土市场的前景将考虑到作为俄罗斯联邦“工业发展和竞争力提高”国家计划一部分实施的“稀土和稀土元素工业发展”子计划。该子计划的目的是在俄罗斯联邦建立一个具有竞争力的综合生产周期的稀土工业,以满足国内国防工业综合体、民用工业和进入国外市场的需要。委员会指出,本次级方案应根据俄罗斯联邦市场条件的变化和稀土元素生产的发展,包括通过法定、非关税和技术条例加以改进。在不久的将来,洛帕利石和磷灰石仍将是俄罗斯工业加工稀土元素的主要来源,而磷灰石的稀土产量将增加。强调指出,俄罗斯稀土开发的前景不在于增加初级产量,而在于建立新的工厂来消费稀土产品。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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