Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in South Asian Region

A. Sankarkumar, M. Selvam, I. Gunasekaran, A. P, Dhanasekar Dhamotharan
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Abstract

The aim of this study was to throw light on the relationship between the Exchange Rate and Macro Economic Performance in South Asian Region (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Sri Lanka). The results indicated that there was causal relationship (unidirectional) between Exchange Rate and Imports, Government Total Expenditure and Total Investment in Bangladesh. The correlation analysis also confirmed that Bangladesh is only country, which recorded positive correlation between Exchange Rate and Macro Economic Performance (except Total Investment) of South Asia Region. The findings of this study would be useful to the retail investors and policymakers, to monitor the exchange rate movements.
南亚地区的汇率与宏观经济表现
本研究的目的是阐明南亚地区(阿富汗、孟加拉国、不丹、印度和斯里兰卡)汇率与宏观经济表现之间的关系。结果表明,汇率与孟加拉国进口、政府总支出和总投资之间存在单向的因果关系。相关性分析也证实孟加拉国是南亚地区唯一一个汇率与宏观经济表现(除总投资外)正相关的国家。本文的研究结果对散户投资者和政策制定者监控汇率走势有一定的参考价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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