Efficacy of energy consumption policy in Iranian National Gas Company: System dynamics approach

IF 4 4区环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Energy & Environment Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI:10.1177/0958305X211038650

Nazanin Zahra Alikhani, M. Vahdat, M. Owlia

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Abstract

The ever-increasing global demand for energy, oil production/supply and the necessity for alternative approaches regarding energy harvesting have opened a deeper horizon for natural gas utilization. The complexity of the demand–supply match of natural gas and the lack of an optimal pattern of energy consumption have been daunting tasks for the energy decision-makers in the last century. Although laws regarding energy efficiency are formulated and even implemented in some cases, there was no benchmarking analysis which takes all useful indexes into account until recently. However, in this article, by identifying the factors affecting the pattern of gas consumption through the system dynamic approach, regulations associated with productivity are assessed. For this, a regional dynamic integrated gas model is developed. The model effectiveness in handling the system dynamism and various scenarios are investigated through a real case study in Yazd—a central province of Iran—to ascertain the proposed approach. The results show that the developed targeted subsidy law is effective in the household sector. Despite the fact that the thorough implementation of the energy efficiency regulations has positive environmental and economic impacts, these regulations have not been fully implemented in many cases and do not have the required efficiency in the industry sector.

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伊朗国家天然气公司能源消费政策效能:系统动力学方法

全球对能源、石油生产/供应的需求不断增长，以及能源收集方面的替代方法的必要性，为天然气的利用开辟了更广阔的前景。在上个世纪，天然气供需匹配的复杂性和缺乏最优的能源消费模式一直是摆在能源决策者面前的艰巨任务。虽然制定了有关能源效率的法律，甚至在某些情况下实施了这些法律，但直到最近才出现了考虑到所有有用指标的基准分析。然而，在本文中，通过系统动态方法确定影响天然气消耗模式的因素，评估与生产力相关的法规。为此，建立了区域动态综合瓦斯模型。通过对伊朗中部省份亚兹德的实际案例研究，研究了该模型在处理系统动态和各种情景方面的有效性。结果表明，制定的定向补贴法在家庭部门是有效的。尽管能源效率法规的全面实施具有积极的环境和经济影响，但在许多情况下，这些法规并未得到充分实施，并且在工业部门没有达到所需的效率。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Energy & Environment ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-

CiteScore

7.60

自引率

7.10%

发文量

157

期刊介绍： Energy & Environment is an interdisciplinary journal inviting energy policy analysts, natural scientists and engineers, as well as lawyers and economists to contribute to mutual understanding and learning, believing that better communication between experts will enhance the quality of policy, advance social well-being and help to reduce conflict. The journal encourages dialogue between the social sciences as energy demand and supply are observed and analysed with reference to politics of policy-making and implementation. The rapidly evolving social and environmental impacts of energy supply, transport, production and use at all levels require contribution from many disciplines if policy is to be effective. In particular E & E invite contributions from the study of policy delivery, ultimately more important than policy formation. The geopolitics of energy are also important, as are the impacts of environmental regulations and advancing technologies on national and local politics, and even global energy politics. Energy & Environment is a forum for constructive, professional information sharing, as well as debate across disciplines and professions, including the financial sector. Mathematical articles are outside the scope of Energy & Environment. The broader policy implications of submitted research should be addressed and environmental implications, not just emission quantities, be discussed with reference to scientific assumptions. This applies especially to technical papers based on arguments suggested by other disciplines, funding bodies or directly by policy-makers.