El ciclo económico de la productividad y su relación con el ciclo político en México, 1993.1 - 2014.4

IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS
Vicente Germán-Soto, Cesáreo Gámez Garza
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The political-business cycle (PBC) theory sustains that economies are positively influenced in the last year of each government administration and also they tend to slowdown in the first year. To investigate this hypothesis, we analyze the cycle of productivity of the manufacturing industry in Mexico along 1993.1-–2014.4. Results from dynamic models indicate that strength of productivity is relatively minor for the quarters 1 and 4, a finding that is related to the political cycle because elasticity also falls in the quarters of the first year of government and increases in the last.
墨西哥生产力的经济周期及其与政治周期的关系,1993.1 - 2014.4
政治经济周期理论认为,经济在每届政府执政的最后一年受到积极影响,而且在第一年往往会放缓。为了研究这一假设,我们分析了墨西哥制造业在1993.1—2014.4期间的生产率周期。动态模型的结果表明,第1季度和第4季度的生产率强度相对较小,这一发现与政治周期有关,因为弹性在政府第一年的季度也会下降,而在最后一个季度会增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
4
审稿时长
12 weeks
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