The Nature of Agriculture's Contributions to Economic Development

B. Johnston, J. Mellor
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引用次数: 12

Abstract

In the burgeoning literature on economic development there has been considerable discussion of the relative importance of agricultural vs. industrial development. Few attempts have been made, however, to examine in detail the nature of agriculture's contributions to the process of economic growth. In particular, it seems desirable to consider more fully the inter-relationships between agricultural and industrial expansion and the extent to which agricultural development is complementary to over-all economic growth. Expansion of agricultural output requires increased inputs, and in that sense necessarily competes with other sectors of the economy. Historical experience and theoretical considerations suggest, however, that the optimum approach to increasing farm output and productivity in an underdeveloped country is likely to entail only modest demands on the critically scarce resources indispensable for industrial development. Since the emphasis in the present paper is on the nature of agriculture's contributions to economic advance, only a brief statement is given here of the reasons underlying the assertion that farm output and productivity can and should be increased by methods that make very limited demands on resources of high opportunity cost which are essential for industrial expansion. In virtually all underdeveloped economies agriculture is an existing industry of major proportions. On the order of 40 to 60 per cent of the national income is produced in agriculture, and some 50 to 80 per cent of the labor force is engaged in agricultural production (II, pp. 94-97, I93; 26, pp. 45-47). Although large quantities
农业对经济发展贡献的性质
在关于经济发展的新兴文献中,对农业与工业发展的相对重要性进行了相当多的讨论。然而,很少有人试图详细研究农业对经济增长过程的贡献的性质。特别是,似乎应该更充分地考虑农业和工业扩张之间的相互关系,以及农业发展对全面经济增长的补充程度。扩大农业产出需要增加投入,因此必然与其他经济部门竞争。然而,历史经验和理论考虑表明,在一个不发达国家提高农业产出和生产力的最佳办法可能只需要对工业发展所必需的极其稀少的资源有适度的需求。由于本论文的重点是农业对经济发展的贡献的性质,因此这里只简要说明以下断言的原因:农业产出和生产力可以而且应该通过对工业扩张所必需的高机会成本资源要求非常有限的方法来增加。在几乎所有不发达的经济体中,农业都是现有的主要产业。大约40%至60%的国民收入来自农业,大约50%至80%的劳动力从事农业生产(第二页,第94-97页,1993;26页,第45-47页)。虽然数量很大
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