Diagnosis for global health: Threats of infectious disease and why we continue to ignore them.

A. Kassay, Anastasiya Vinokurtseva
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Abstract

In a matter of several weeks, an unknown infectious agent spread over the entire globe; it infected over 2.2 million people and killed at least 150,000 (as of April 2020). This infectious agent has been identified as a novel coronavirus and is now known as COVID-19. In 2007, Cheng et al. warned us of the reemerging ability of coronaviruses and the “ticking time bomb” that awaits. In 2008, Talbot et al. also warned that SARS was only the tip of the iceberg with regards to coronaviruses. There has been an endless amount of information available about how to prevent and minimize the risk of future outbreaks. We knew the importance of implementing these strategies 16 years ago; nonetheless, the number of people infected by COVID-19 are climbing each day. SARS was not the only infectious disease we could have learned from: a more recent example is Ebola. In 2015, Bill Gates discussed the impact of Ebola, warned that “if anything kills over 10 million people in the next few decades, it’s most likely to be a highly infectious virus rather than a war”, and made suggestions to invest in stronger public health systems. We had the time to implement these suggestions made over the years, yet they were not taken seriously and for the current pandemic, it is too late to use preventative measures as we are managing the consequences. Hopefully, in the world post-COVID-19, these important lessons will finally be applied and our global health system will become stronger.
全球卫生诊断:传染病的威胁以及我们继续忽视它们的原因。
在几周内,一种未知的传染性病原体在全球蔓延;截至2020年4月,它感染了220多万人,造成至少15万人死亡。这种传染性病原体已被确定为一种新型冠状病毒,现在被称为COVID-19。2007年,Cheng等人警告我们,冠状病毒有重新出现的能力,等待我们的是“定时炸弹”。2008年,Talbot等人也警告说,SARS只是冠状病毒的冰山一角。关于如何预防和尽量减少未来爆发的风险,已有无数可用信息。16年前我们就知道实施这些战略的重要性;尽管如此,感染COVID-19的人数每天都在攀升。SARS并不是我们可以学习的唯一传染病:最近的一个例子是埃博拉。2015年,比尔·盖茨讨论了埃博拉的影响,警告说“如果有什么在未来几十年里杀死超过1000万人,那很可能是一种高度传染性的病毒,而不是一场战争”,并建议投资于更强大的公共卫生系统。我们有时间执行多年来提出的这些建议,但这些建议没有得到认真对待,就目前的大流行病而言,在我们处理后果时采取预防措施为时已晚。希望在2019冠状病毒病后的世界,这些重要的经验终将得到应用,我们的全球卫生系统将变得更加强大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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