A TWO-STAGE STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR TECHNOLOGICAL KNOWLEDGE ACQUISITION BASED ON GAME THEORY

IF 1.4 4区工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Scientia Iranica Pub Date : 2023-06-18 DOI:10.24200/sci.2023.60423.6816

M. Jafari, A. Makui, A. Raisi

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Abstract

Firms outperforming competitors often get their success through innovation and new technological knowledge acquisition. This study offers a Three-Stage decision-making model for acquiring new technological knowledge and the optimal time to invest. In the first Stage, two competing firms decide to invest in a new technological knowledge without knowing its level. In the next stage, firms will develop and integrate it with their knowledge. Due to the uncertainty of new technological knowledge, a stochastic programming model is used to determine the optimal acquisition time. This model identifies the leader and follower by considering advantages such as branding and high market share as well as disadvantages such as high cost of uncertainty. Finally, we used Cournot and Stackelberg game to determine the winner in the market. The proposed model can be used as a decision-making tool to help organizations, in uncertainty, invest as leaders in acquiring new technological knowledge and entering the market, or wait until things are clear. The results of stochastic programing and game theory model show that the level of knowledge of firms at the time of production, knowledge absorption coefficient, and constant demand coefficient will have a special effect on determining the winner in the market

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基于博弈论的技术知识获取两阶段随机规划模型

超越竞争对手的企业往往通过创新和新技术知识的获取获得成功。本研究提出了企业获取新技术知识和投资最佳时机的三阶段决策模型。在第一阶段，两家竞争企业在不知道新技术知识水平的情况下决定投资。在下一阶段，企业将开发并整合其知识。由于新技术知识的不确定性，采用随机规划模型确定最优获取时间。该模型通过考虑品牌和高市场份额等优势以及不确定性成本高等劣势来识别领导者和追随者。最后，我们利用Cournot和Stackelberg博弈来确定市场的赢家。所提出的模型可以作为一个决策工具来帮助组织在不确定的情况下，作为领导者在获取新技术知识和进入市场方面进行投资，或者等待事情变得明朗。随机规划和博弈论模型的结果表明，企业生产时的知识水平、知识吸收系数和恒定需求系数对决定市场赢家有特殊影响

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来源期刊

Scientia Iranica 工程技术-工程：综合

CiteScore

2.90

自引率

7.10%

发文量

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： The objectives of Scientia Iranica are two-fold. The first is to provide a forum for the presentation of original works by scientists and engineers from around the world. The second is to open an effective channel to enhance the level of communication between scientists and engineers and the exchange of state-of-the-art research and ideas. The scope of the journal is broad and multidisciplinary in technical sciences and engineering. It encompasses theoretical and experimental research. Specific areas include but not limited to chemistry, chemical engineering, civil engineering, control and computer engineering, electrical engineering, material, manufacturing and industrial management, mathematics, mechanical engineering, nuclear engineering, petroleum engineering, physics, nanotechnology.