MURABAHA İLE MAKROEKONOMİK DİNAMİKLER ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ

Abstract

The concept of murabaha is expressed as cost plus profit share sales. Murabaha, known as the participation finance product, has an important place in the interest-free financial system. In this context, it is aimed to reveal the relationship between murabaha and macroeconomic variables on the Turkish sample in this study. In the research model, murabaha is used as a dependent variable, while Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employment rate, and inflation rate have been tested as independent variables within the scope of macroeconomic indicator. A total of 40 quarterly data between 2010-2019 have been analyzed using the Johansen cointegration, VECM Granger and Toda-Yamamoto causality test. According to the findings obtained from the analysis, murabaha and macroeconomic variables are statistically identical in the long term and move in the same direction together. According to the findings obtained from the Toda-Yamamoto analysis, a bidirectional causality has been found between murabaha and the GDP and employment rate, which is used as a macroeconomic indicator, while a one-way causality relationship has been found between murabaha and the inflation rate. The results indicate the existence of a long-run causality relationship between murabaha financing and various macroeconomic dynamics.