Fitting Rating Curves to Selected Streams in Southeast Nigeria

A. O. Ibeje
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Abstract

Lack of funds and political will has made continuous gauging of rivers in Nigeria impossible, thus stalling the development of surface water resources. In order to address this anomaly; this study is focused on developing discharge rating curve, for selected streams in Imo-Anambra river basin of southeast Nigeria, which is capable of predicting discharge from stage. Ten years monthly stage and discharge records, measured with stream gauges, for Rivers Adada in Enugu state, Ajali in Anambra state, Ivo in Ebonyi State, Otamiri in Imo state,  and Imo (Umuopara) in Abia state, were used in estimating the rating curve models using simple linear regression as: ,  and . All the rating curve equations were validated using coefficient of determination which yielded values of 98.54%, 97.38%, 17.31%, 89.98% and 99.43%, but the empirical discharge-stage model of River Ivo was discarded as the model produced poor performance and lacked the features of a rating curve. The rating curve of Imo River predicted the highest discharge for equivalent input values of stage because of its large cross-section at the gauging station. The developed rating curve models are therefore recommended for discharge prediction in these catchment areas with limited streamflow records. Keywords — fitting, rating curve, southeast Nigeria, stream discharge
拟合尼日利亚东南部选定河流的评级曲线
由于缺乏资金和政治意愿,尼日利亚无法对河流进行持续测量,从而阻碍了地表水资源的开发。为了解决这个异常;本研究主要针对尼日利亚东南部伊莫-阿南布拉河流域选定的河流,建立流量分级曲线,并对其进行分级预测。利用流量计测量的埃努古州的Adada河、阿南布拉州的Ajali河、埃邦伊州的Ivo河、伊莫州的Otamiri河和阿比亚州的Imo (Umuopara)河的10年月度水位和流量记录,使用简单线性回归来估计评级曲线模型:和。利用决定系数对各评价曲线方程进行了验证,其结果分别为98.54%、97.38%、17.31%、89.98%和99.43%,但由于伊沃河的经验流量阶段模型性能较差,缺乏评价曲线的特征,因此放弃了该模型。根据额定值曲线预测的额定值,额定值曲线上的额定值最大,因为额定值曲线上的额定值较大。因此,所开发的评级曲线模型被推荐用于这些集水区的流量预测,这些集水区的流量记录有限。关键词:拟合;额定曲线;尼日利亚东南部
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