The Nigeria’s Debt- Growth Nexus: A Blessing or Burden?

C. G. Nwikina, Ledum Moses Gbarato, Joseph Jim Meekor
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The option of leveraging on recommendable borrowings does not only stimulate favourable economic growth but also offers meaningful upsurge in the financial position of parties involved. It is on this premise that prompted the essence to examine the Nigeria’s debtgrowth nexus: whether a blessing or burden, for the period 1981 to 2019. Secondary data from CBN statistical Bulletin were employed in the study. Using the Error Correction Model, the results reveal that, although debt servicing exerts negative relationship with economic growth, it is obvious that debt financing in Nigeria is a blessing as external and domestic debt stocks all exert positive influence on economic growth. However, only domestic debt stock is efficient enough to spur economic activities, which suggests that prudent employment of domestic debt which is not affected by exchange rate is a strong catalyst for rapid increase in economic activities in Nigeria. Therefore, having identified domestic debt as the linchpin of economic growth in Nigeria, the study recommends the choice for internally borrowed fund as the best benign financing option as well as its optimal utilization for meaningful commensurate economic activities. Also, recommendable threshold point of borrowing should strictly be adhere to, in order to avoid landing the economy into a state of onerous experience.
尼日利亚的债务-增长关系:是福还是负担?
对可推荐的借款进行杠杆化的选择不仅能刺激有利的经济增长,而且还能使相关各方的财务状况有意义地提高。正是在这个前提下,促使我们审视尼日利亚的债务增长关系:1981年至2019年期间,这是一件好事还是一种负担。本研究采用CBN统计公报的辅助数据。使用误差修正模型,结果表明,虽然偿债与经济增长呈负相关,但尼日利亚的债务融资显然是一件好事,因为外部和国内债务存量都对经济增长产生积极影响。然而,只有国内债务存量才有足够的效率来刺激经济活动,这表明谨慎使用不受汇率影响的国内债务是尼日利亚经济活动迅速增加的有力催化剂。因此,在确定国内债务是尼日利亚经济增长的关键之后,本研究建议选择国内借贷资金作为最佳良性融资选择,并将其用于有意义的相应经济活动。同时,借贷的推荐门槛点也应严格遵守,以避免经济陷入落地困局的经历。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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