A System Dynamics Approach to Decision-making Tools in Farm Tourism Development

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2020-09-30 DOI:10.2478/bsrj-2020-0020

M. Žibert, Č. Rozman, A. Škraba, B. Prevolšek

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引用次数: 7

Abstract

Abstract Background: Besides visiting the main tourist attractions in Slovenia, many tourists want to spend their free time in the countryside as well, but the number of farming establishments in Slovenia diminished distinctly in the last years. Objectives: This paper aims to develop a system dynamics model, with the goal to analyse dynamics of the diversification of agricultural holdings into farm tourism activities in Slovenia. Methods/Approach: A system dynamics methodology was chosen to model the diversification in farm tourism. First, we present a basic concept of a system dynamics model with a causal loop diagram. Further, a system dynamics model with different scenarios is presented. Results: The main feedback loops were identified, and the simulation model was used to analyse different simulation scenarios of the transition of farming establishments into farm tourism facilities. Conclusions: The model provides the answers to the strategic questions about the dynamics of transfer into tourist farms, using several simulation scenarios. The transition mainly relies on subsidies, promotion of diversification and the growth of rural tourism, which provides a relevant direction for the development of future incentives.

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农业旅游发展决策工具的系统动力学方法

摘要背景:除了参观斯洛文尼亚的主要旅游景点外，许多游客还希望在乡村度过他们的空闲时间，但斯洛文尼亚的农业设施数量在过去几年中明显减少。目的:本文旨在开发一个系统动力学模型，目标是分析斯洛文尼亚农业控股多元化进入农业旅游活动的动态。方法/途径:采用系统动力学方法对农业旅游的多样化进行建模。首先，我们提出了带有因果环图的系统动力学模型的基本概念。在此基础上，建立了不同场景下的系统动力学模型。结果:确定了主要的反馈回路，并利用模拟模型分析了农业场所向农业旅游设施转变的不同模拟情景。结论:该模型通过几个模拟场景，提供了关于旅游农场转移动力学的战略问题的答案。转型主要依靠补贴、促进多元化和发展乡村旅游，这为未来激励措施的发展提供了相关方向。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.