Deficit Financing and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria

Stephen Ebhodaghe Ughulu, Ph.D., Nosa M. Edogiawerie, Ph.D., Abubakar Alasan Billyaminu
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Abstract

The impact of deficit financing on economic growth has long been recognized in the extant literature given that this type of financing is germane to accelerated and sustainable economic growth. Yet, Nigeria did not seem to have utilized deficit financing proceeds to invest in those related infrastructural facilities that would generate income and augment domestic savings, thereby helping to make and sell quality products and services that are internationally competitive, and ultimately stimulate economic growth. Rather, the seemingly weak governance in the country engaged in massive misappropriation of public funds and outright corruption thereby exacerbating unemployment, insecurity, and widespread poverty both in the urban and rural areas of the country. The main aim of the study therefore was to investigate empirically the impact of deficit financing on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1981 to 2019. Secondary data for the study were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria and the World Bank Global Development Index. The fully modified ordinary least squares methodology of the econometrics was employed to analyze the data of the study. The major findings of the study showed that the federal government domestic debt variable, the federal government budget deficit variable, the foreign exchange reserves variable, and the broad money supply variable exerted positive impacts on economic growth, while the external debt variable exerted a negative and insignificant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. The study therefore concluded that public borrowing in Nigeria can only induce rapid and sustainable economic growth only and if only borrowed funds are massively invested in related infrastructural facilities that would generate revenue which would augment domestic financial resources. Accordingly, the study recommended that the federal government of Nigeria should carefully study the state of its economy to enable it invest in those infrastructural facilities that are thought germane to the achievement of sustainable economic growth.
赤字融资与经济增长:来自尼日利亚的经验证据
现有文献早就认识到赤字融资对经济增长的影响,因为这种类型的融资与加速和可持续的经济增长密切相关。然而,尼日利亚似乎没有利用赤字融资收益投资于那些能够产生收入和增加国内储蓄的相关基础设施,从而帮助制造和销售具有国际竞争力的优质产品和服务,并最终刺激经济增长。相反,这个国家看似软弱的治理参与了大规模挪用公共资金和彻底的腐败,从而加剧了该国城市和农村地区的失业、不安全和普遍贫困。因此,本研究的主要目的是实证调查1981年至2019年期间尼日利亚赤字融资对经济增长的影响。该研究的次要数据来自尼日利亚中央银行和世界银行全球发展指数。采用计量经济学中完全修正的普通最小二乘方法对研究数据进行分析。研究的主要发现表明,联邦政府国内债务变量、联邦政府预算赤字变量、外汇储备变量和广义货币供应量变量对尼日利亚经济增长具有正向影响,而外债变量对经济增长具有不显著的负向影响。因此,这项研究的结论是,尼日利亚的公共借款只能引起快速和可持续的经济增长,而且只有将借来的资金大量投资于相关的基础设施,才能产生收入,从而增加国内财政资源。因此,该研究报告建议尼日利亚联邦政府认真研究其经济状况,使其能够投资于那些被认为与实现可持续经济增长密切相关的基础设施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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