The Strategy of International Monetary Fund in the Recovery of the Post-Crisis Economy in Latin America

D. Neamţu
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Abstract

The IMF's past experience in Latin America is far from promising. The failure of the Argentinian economic program in 2001 was a strong blow to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), namely rescue policies and their effectiveness, diminishing the institution's support in both developing and developed countries. Our main concern is how one country deals with the policies proposed by the IMF and the degree of government freedom. This paper is an attempt to assess how much a country needs the IMF. Argentina's and Brazil's recovery experience following the devaluation of the national currency provides an interesting case of analysis. Following the 1999 currency devaluation, Brazil pursued a closely monitored economic policy supported by the IMF, while Argentina, after the 2001-2002 crisis, pursued a more independent policy that in many cases opposed the IMF's recommendation. This paper compares the performances of both countries, as well as the benefits of pursuing or not the IMF's "recipe" to get out of a foreigner that could come from the balance of payments deficit. As we can see, pursuing the "recipe" of the IMF does not ensure either success or failure. This paper compares the experience of both countries with which it has the best strategy for recovery. Economic performance shows us that both countries have come back in a similar way, highlighting the need for the IMF to engage in recovery.
国际货币基金组织在拉美后危机经济复苏中的战略
IMF过去在拉丁美洲的经验远非令人乐观。2001年阿根廷经济计划的失败对国际货币基金组织(IMF)的救助政策及其有效性是一个沉重打击,削弱了该机构对发展中国家和发达国家的支持。我们主要关心的是一个国家如何应对国际货币基金组织提出的政策以及政府的自由程度。本文试图评估一个国家对IMF的需求程度。阿根廷和巴西在本国货币贬值后的复苏经历提供了一个有趣的分析案例。1999年货币贬值后,巴西采取了受到IMF支持的严密监控的经济政策,而阿根廷在2001-2002年危机后采取了更为独立的政策,在很多情况下反对IMF的建议。本文比较了两国的表现,以及追求或不追求国际货币基金组织的“配方”以摆脱可能来自国际收支赤字的外国人的好处。正如我们所看到的,追求IMF的“配方”并不能保证成功或失败。本文比较了两国的经验,并提出了最佳的复苏战略。经济表现向我们表明,两国都以类似的方式复苏,这凸显了IMF参与复苏的必要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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