Alfian Tan, R. Remenyte-Prescott, M. Valstar, D. Sharkey
{"title":"A modelling approach to studying variations in newborn life support procedure","authors":"Alfian Tan, R. Remenyte-Prescott, M. Valstar, D. Sharkey","doi":"10.1177/1748006x231173595","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Variations in clinical practice are common. However, some variations may cause undesired consequences. Careful consideration of their causes and effects is necessary to assure the quality of healthcare delivery. A modelling approach that could capture these aspects would help to achieve this goal. In this paper, a Newborn Life Support procedure is modelled. This activity is considered prone to error with reduced outcomes for the patient. Hence, it is necessary to understand the nature of the activity and its variations. A Coloured Petri Net (CPN) approach and a simulation technique are used for this purpose. The CPN colours are used to represent the characteristics of babies and to control the flow of tokens representing the resuscitation procedure. Probabilistic modelling aspects include the duration of individual tasks, the choice of treatment and the condition of the baby. The model outputs consist of the percentage of babies with an unsatisfactory outcome, the percentage of babies who need full resuscitation, and the duration of the procedure until a satisfactory condition is achieved. The modelling approach is demonstrated using a number of scenarios on some common NLS variations, relating to the maximum number of ventilation and the probability of errors in the inflation procedure.","PeriodicalId":51266,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part O-Journal of Risk and Reliability","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part O-Journal of Risk and Reliability","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x231173595","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Abstract
Variations in clinical practice are common. However, some variations may cause undesired consequences. Careful consideration of their causes and effects is necessary to assure the quality of healthcare delivery. A modelling approach that could capture these aspects would help to achieve this goal. In this paper, a Newborn Life Support procedure is modelled. This activity is considered prone to error with reduced outcomes for the patient. Hence, it is necessary to understand the nature of the activity and its variations. A Coloured Petri Net (CPN) approach and a simulation technique are used for this purpose. The CPN colours are used to represent the characteristics of babies and to control the flow of tokens representing the resuscitation procedure. Probabilistic modelling aspects include the duration of individual tasks, the choice of treatment and the condition of the baby. The model outputs consist of the percentage of babies with an unsatisfactory outcome, the percentage of babies who need full resuscitation, and the duration of the procedure until a satisfactory condition is achieved. The modelling approach is demonstrated using a number of scenarios on some common NLS variations, relating to the maximum number of ventilation and the probability of errors in the inflation procedure.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Risk and Reliability is for researchers and practitioners who are involved in the field of risk analysis and reliability engineering. The remit of the Journal covers concepts, theories, principles, approaches, methods and models for the proper understanding, assessment, characterisation and management of the risk and reliability of engineering systems. The journal welcomes papers which are based on mathematical and probabilistic analysis, simulation and/or optimisation, as well as works highlighting conceptual and managerial issues. Papers that provide perspectives on current practices and methods, and how to improve these, are also welcome