Механизмы стабилизации современного климата

Abstract

This article investigates the causes and mechanism of change in the climatic pause from 1998 to 2014. In particular, based on the satellite data and the meteorological reanalysis we found a relationship between the temperature of the tropical region of the Pacific Ocean, the speed of the surface wind, and the total content of water vapor in the atmosphere. We also showed that the climatic pause can be explained by a decrease in the water vapor content in the atmosphere and evaluated how this decrease affected the radiation balance of the ground surface. The observed dynamics of water vapor is shown to lead to a decrease in the incoming part of the radiation balance of the ground surface by an amount, which is more than one order of magnitude larger than that caused by the increase in anthropogenic carbon dioxide. It was demonstrated that a decrease in the cloud cover optical thickness could also lead to the stabilization of the global temperature by means of radiative heating of the underlying surface.