Real-World Developments Predict Immigration News in Right-Wing Media: Evidence from Germany

IF 2.7 2区文学 Q1 COMMUNICATION

Mass Communication and Society Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI:10.1080/15205436.2023.2240307

Christian S. Czymara

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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Exclusionist positions on immigration have become a key component of right-wing ideology in most countries around the world. Combining group threat and news values theory, this study sheds light on the emergence of right-wing discourses on immigration based on one of Germany’s most influential right-wing print outlets. I employ supervised and unsupervised machine-learning methods on almost 54,000 articles published between 1998 and 2019 to test whether real-world conditions shape immigration news. Results show that reporting on immigration generally increased over time and peaked during the refugee inflow in 2015/16. Immigration numbers, foreigner crime rates, and Jihadist terror attacks predict the salience of the immigration issue in the overall news as well as discursive shifts within immigration news. During times of high immigration, articles were more likely to address topics related to deportation and closing borders or the criminalization of immigration. Terrorism was more present in immigration news after attacks, especially after attacks in Germany. Foreigner crime did not significantly increase reporting on crime in immigration news. In short, right-wing immigration discourses seem responsive to real-world developments and events that enable exclusionary rhetoric and a threatening portrayal of immigrants.

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现实世界的发展预测右翼媒体的移民新闻:来自德国的证据

在世界上大多数国家，排斥移民的立场已经成为右翼意识形态的一个重要组成部分。结合群体威胁和新闻价值理论，本研究以德国最具影响力的右翼印刷媒体之一为基础，揭示了右翼移民话语的出现。我对1998年至2019年间发表的近5.4万篇文章采用了有监督和无监督的机器学习方法，以测试现实情况是否会影响移民新闻。结果显示，随着时间的推移，移民报告总体上有所增加，并在2015/16年难民流入期间达到峰值。移民人数、外国人犯罪率和圣战恐怖袭击预示着移民问题在整体新闻中的突出地位，以及移民新闻中的话语转变。在移民数量高的时期，文章更有可能涉及与驱逐出境、关闭边境或将移民定为刑事犯罪有关的话题。恐怖主义更多地出现在袭击之后的移民新闻中，尤其是在德国的袭击之后。外国人犯罪并没有显著增加移民新闻对犯罪的报道。简而言之，右翼移民话语似乎对现实世界的发展和事件做出了回应，这些发展和事件使得排他性的言论和对移民的威胁描述成为可能。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Mass Communication and Society COMMUNICATION-

CiteScore

6.90

自引率

3.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： Mass Communication and Society" mission is to publish articles from a wide variety of perspectives and approaches that advance mass communication theory, especially at the societal or macrosocial level. It draws heavily from many other disciplines, including sociology, psychology, anthropology, philosophy, law, and history. Methodologically, journal articles employ qualitative and quantitative methods, survey research, ethnography, laboratory experiments, historical methods, and legal analysis.