Expert system to predict the numbers of livestock in Thi-Qar province

Shaker K. Ali, A. J. Yaseen, Amer Y. Mahdi
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Abstract

Predict the numbers of livestock is one of interesting research area cause the important of livestock in each countries economics, in this paper we design an expert system for predict the numbers of livestock (Sheep, Goat, Cow, Buffalo and Camel) in Thi-Qar  province, and we collect the knowledge from (Directorate of meteorological in Nasiriyah, the Veterinary Hospital in Nasiriyah and Directorate of Agriculture in the province of Thi-Qar) and collect the last 5 years to compare the result from our system with actual results by compare year by year in actual world by the same years in our system , There are 10 knowledge which build  rules , There are differences numbers of rule for each livestock kinds, there are 813 fuzzy rules for sheep, 558 fuzzy rules for goat, 435 fuzzy rules for cow, 425 fuzzy rules for buffalo and 537 fuzzy rules for camel. There is commands knowledge and there is specified knowledge for each livestock (Sheep, Goat, Cow, Buffalo and Camel), there rules build by using Mamdani fuzzy logic and we use SQL server 2008 to insert these fuzzy rules. The results which we obtained from our fuzzy expert system was gave high accuracy and perfect result.
利用专家系统预测齐喀尔省牲畜数量
牲畜数量预测是一个有趣的研究领域,因为牲畜在各国经济中的重要性,在本文中,我们设计了一个专家系统来预测Thi-Qar省的牲畜(绵羊,山羊,牛,水牛和骆驼)的数量,我们收集了纳西里耶气象局的知识。纳西里耶和兽医医院理事会的农业省份Thi-Qar)和收集过去5年比较结果从我们的系统与实际结果比较逐年在实际世界相同的年在我们的系统中,有10个知识构建规则,有不同数量的规则为每个牲畜种类,有813个模糊规则为羊、山羊558模糊规则,模糊规则435牛,水牛有425条模糊规则,骆驼有537条模糊规则。每种牲畜(绵羊、山羊、牛、水牛和骆驼)都有命令知识和指定知识,使用Mamdani模糊逻辑构建规则,并使用SQL server 2008插入这些模糊规则。该模糊专家系统给出了较高的精度和较好的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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