Prospects for the government of Pedro Sanchez in the context of socio-political situation in Spain

S. Khenkin
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Abstract

The left and the right parties in modern Spain often approach many problems that the country faces very differently. In these conditions, the question of whether the left-wing coalition government led by Pedro Sánchez will remain in power until the end of 2023, when the next parliamentary elections are to take place, is of utmost importance. And if it does, will the Socialists win again, or will the initiative pass to the right forces? Government performance is assessed rather contradictory by the citizens of Spain and there are certain reasons for this. The country has embarked on the thorny path of overcoming the consequences of the pandemic. Many sectors of Spanish economy are recovering, the situation in the labour market has improved. But in general, the pace of economic recovery has not yet reached expected indicators and results. Inflation has risen because of rising electricity and gasoline prices, and the purchasing power of the population has declined. At the moment, the government’s prospects are largely determined by the relationship between the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party and Unidas Podemos coalition. This relationship is very complex and contradictory, and as a result disagreements and conflicts arise quite often. An equally difficult question is whether the support of the separatist and nationalist parties of Catalonia and the Basque Country, without which the current government will lose its absolute majority in the lower house of parliament and cannot count on effective governance, will continue. The government’s choices are narrowed by the position of the right-wing parties that stand in stiff and uncompromising opposition and accuse it of complete irrelevancy. Tension reigns in public life with political situation remaining volatile and largely unpredictable.
在西班牙社会政治形势的背景下,桑切斯政府的前景
在现代西班牙,左翼和右翼政党处理国家面临的许多问题的方式常常截然不同。在这种情况下,佩德罗Sánchez领导的左翼联合政府能否继续执政到2023年底,也就是下一届议会选举举行的时候,这个问题至关重要。如果是这样,社会党会再次获胜吗,还是主动权会落入右翼手中?西班牙公民对政府绩效的评价相当矛盾,这是有一定原因的。该国已走上克服大流行病后果的艰难道路。西班牙经济的许多部门正在复苏,劳动力市场的情况有所改善。但总体来看,经济复苏的步伐尚未达到预期的指标和效果。由于电力和汽油价格的上涨,通货膨胀率上升,人口的购买力下降。目前,政府的前景在很大程度上取决于西班牙社会主义工人党(Socialist Workers ' Party)和“我们可以”联盟(Unidas Podemos coalition)之间的关系。这种关系是非常复杂和矛盾的,因此分歧和冲突经常出现。一个同样困难的问题是,加泰罗尼亚和巴斯克地区的分离主义和民族主义政党是否会继续得到支持。没有这些政党,现任政府将失去在议会下院的绝对多数,无法指望有效的治理。由于右翼政党立场强硬、毫不妥协,指责政府完全无关紧要,政府的选择范围缩小了。紧张局势在公共生活中占主导地位,政治局势仍然不稳定,很大程度上难以预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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