STYLIZED FACTS, VOLATILITY DYNAMICS AND RISK MEASURES OF CRYPTOCURRENCIES

IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting
Rasa Bruzgė, Jurgita Černevičienė, Alfreda Šapkauskienė, Aida Mačerinskienė, S. Masteika, Kęstutis Driaunys
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Abstract

This study explores the stylized facts, volatility clustering, other highly irregular behaviour, and risk measures of cryptocurrencies’ returns. By analysing bitcoin, ripple, and ethereum daily data we establish evidence of strong dependencies among analysed cryptocurrencies. This paper provides new insights about cryptocurrency behaviour and the main measures of risk and detailed comparative analysis with tech-stocks. Comprehensive research on stylized facts confirmed high risk for both cryptocurrencies and tech-stocks with cryptocurrencies being even riskier. Empirical research findings are useful in developing dependence and risk strategies for investment and hedging purposes, especially during more volatile periods in the markets as there was confirmed existence of volatility clusters when high volatility periods are followed by low volatility periods. Sensitivity analysis and measures of Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) show the amount of losses investors can expect in the worst case scenario. Our results confirm the existence of predictability, volatility clustering, and possibilities for arbitrage opportunities. Findings could be beneficial for investors and policymakers as well as for scientific purposes as findings give us a better understanding of the behaviour of cryptocurrencies.
加密货币的风格化事实、波动动态和风险指标
本研究探讨了加密货币回报的风格化事实、波动性聚类、其他高度不规则的行为和风险指标。通过分析比特币、瑞波币和以太坊的日常数据,我们在分析的加密货币之间建立了强依赖性的证据。本文提供了关于加密货币行为和主要风险指标的新见解,并与科技股进行了详细的比较分析。对程式化事实的全面研究证实,加密货币和科技股都存在高风险,加密货币的风险更大。实证研究结果有助于为投资和对冲目的制定依赖和风险策略,特别是在市场波动较大的时期,因为当高波动期之后是低波动期时,波动性集群的存在得到证实。风险价值(VaR)和预期损失(ES)的敏感性分析和度量显示了投资者在最坏情况下可以预期的损失金额。我们的研究结果证实了可预测性、波动性聚类和套利机会可能性的存在。这些发现对投资者和政策制定者以及科学目的都是有益的,因为这些发现让我们更好地理解了加密货币的行为。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
3.80%
发文量
48
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Business Economics and Management is a peer-reviewed journal which publishes original research papers. The objective of the journal is to provide insights into business and strategic management issues through the publication of high quality research from around the world. We particularly focus on research undertaken in Western Europe but welcome perspectives from other regions of the world that enhance our knowledge in this area. The journal publishes in the following areas of research: Global Business Transition Issues Economic Growth and Development Economics of Organizations and Industries Finance and Investment Strategic Management Marketing Innovations Public Administration.
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