Growth and Productivity; The Role of Budget Deficit in the MENA Selected Countries

Mansoor Arjomand , Karim Emami , Farshid Salimi
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引用次数: 35

Abstract

Today, efficiency is considered as one of the most effective ways of increasing economic growth by many planners and economic policy makers in different countries; further, huge investments made in this regard. On the other hand, the issue of budget deficit was introduced in economic literature since 1980s. Within this decade, current budget deficit significantly increased in the USA. Emerging of this phenomenon prompted many economists to establish public sector as the macroeconomic unbalancing factor, on the contrary to Keynesy who regarded public sector as the balance factor, particularly in developing countries since developing countries deal with specific problems such as foreign debt, high inflation, difficulties of payment balances, exchange parallel markets as well as various external shocks. Therefore, this research tried to study the effect of growth, efficiency and government budget deficit in MENA selected countries within 2000-2013 by using the recommended static panel models. Results of the estimated relations for the first model in which government budget deficit is the dependent variable indicate positive effect of economic growth and inflation rate variables as well as the negative effect of labor productivity and government budget deficit. Moreover, the second model in which economic growth is the dependent variable demonstrates the positive effect of labor productivity index and economic growth. In addition, negative correlation of government budget deficit with economic growth is also maintained.

增长和生产力;预算赤字在中东和北非选定国家中的作用
今天,效率被不同国家的许多规划者和经济决策者认为是促进经济增长的最有效方法之一;此外,在这方面进行了大量投资。另一方面,预算赤字问题自20世纪80年代以来被引入经济学文献。在这十年中,美国的当前预算赤字显著增加。这一现象的出现促使许多经济学家将公共部门确立为宏观经济不平衡因素,这与凯恩斯将公共部门视为平衡因素相反,特别是在发展中国家,因为发展中国家面临外债、高通货膨胀、支付平衡困难、外汇平行市场以及各种外部冲击等具体问题。因此,本研究试图采用推荐的静态面板模型,研究2000-2013年中东和北非地区选定国家的增长、效率和政府预算赤字的影响。以政府预算赤字为因变量的第一个模型的关系估计结果表明,经济增长和通货膨胀率变量对经济增长和通货膨胀率变量的影响为正,劳动生产率和政府预算赤字的影响为负。此外,以经济增长为因变量的第二个模型证明了劳动生产率指数对经济增长的正向影响。此外,政府预算赤字与经济增长也保持负相关关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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