{"title":"Crude Birth Rate in Croatia: local-scale variability, spatial patterns, and trends from 2001 to 2020","authors":"T. Belić","doi":"10.21861/hgg.2023.85.01.04","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the spatio-temporal variability of the Crude Birth Rate in Croatia between 2001 and 2020. The local-scale data covers 556 spatial units. Additionally, the data covers categories by type and size of unit and their respective regions. The study is based on descriptive and spatial statistics (Global and Local Moran's indices). The results reveal two main processes in the long-term trends of birth rates in Croatia: convergence at a low birth rate and a significant decrease in spatial autocorrelation. The most intense convergence took place between 2009 and 2017, mainly overlapping with the economic recession period. The process was also observed at the regional level. Spatial autocorrelation decreased between 2001 and 2016, followed by a slight increase. In the initial years, the main cause could be modernization, and later the economic recession and the subsequent emigration wave that followed Croatia's accession to the European Union. Finally, the continuation of the polarization between the center and the periphery is evident.","PeriodicalId":42319,"journal":{"name":"Hrvatski Geografski Glasnik-Croatian Geographical Bulletin","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Hrvatski Geografski Glasnik-Croatian Geographical Bulletin","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21861/hgg.2023.85.01.04","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"GEOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study investigates the spatio-temporal variability of the Crude Birth Rate in Croatia between 2001 and 2020. The local-scale data covers 556 spatial units. Additionally, the data covers categories by type and size of unit and their respective regions. The study is based on descriptive and spatial statistics (Global and Local Moran's indices). The results reveal two main processes in the long-term trends of birth rates in Croatia: convergence at a low birth rate and a significant decrease in spatial autocorrelation. The most intense convergence took place between 2009 and 2017, mainly overlapping with the economic recession period. The process was also observed at the regional level. Spatial autocorrelation decreased between 2001 and 2016, followed by a slight increase. In the initial years, the main cause could be modernization, and later the economic recession and the subsequent emigration wave that followed Croatia's accession to the European Union. Finally, the continuation of the polarization between the center and the periphery is evident.
期刊介绍:
The Hrvatski geografski glasnik/Croatian Geographical Bulletin is a scientific journal that publishes the results of original theoretical and empirical geographical research, reviews from all geographic disciplines, spatially oriented papers from geosciences and other related scientific disciplines, as well as interdisciplinary papers. The journal particularly welcomes papers focused on spatial issues in Croatia, Central, Southern and South-Eastern Europe, as well as papers that present the results of previous research and themes published in the Hrvatski geografski glasnik/Croatian Geographical Bulletin. The journal is issued twice a year. A manuscript is submitted in English, and, if possible, in Croatian. Each submitted manuscript id reviewed by two peer-reviewers.