- Does electricity consumption influence economic growth in Indonesia?

Vita Kartika Sari
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to analyze the influence of electricity consumption, investment, and school enrollment on economic growth of Indonesia from 1984-2018. Electricity is used by society in every activity including production and consumption. This study used ARDL-ECM method. Based on the estimation results, all variables were stationary at the first difference. Based on the empirical findings, the appropriate ARDL model was ARDL (1, 2, 1, 1). In the long run, investment had a positive influence on economic growth and school enrollment had a negative influence on economic growth. Meanwhile, in the long run, electricity consumption is insignificant to the economic performance of Indonesia during the study period. However, in the short run, there was only investment had a significant and positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia. School enrollment and electricity consumption had no significant influence on economic growth. Speed of adjustment (ECT (-1)) had a significant influence on GDP. With the Qusum and QusumQ tests, the model showed feasible stability. Therefore, more vigorous electricity policies should be implemented for supporting economic growth.
-电力消费是否影响印尼的经济增长?
本研究的目的是分析1984-2018年印尼电力消费、投资和入学率对经济增长的影响。电被社会用于包括生产和消费在内的每一项活动。本研究采用ARDL-ECM方法。根据估计结果,所有变量在第一次差分处都是平稳的。根据实证结果,适合的ARDL模型为ARDL(1,2,1,1)。从长期来看,投资对经济增长有正向影响,而入学率对经济增长有负向影响。同时,从长期来看,在研究期间,印尼的用电量对经济表现的影响并不显著。然而,在短期内,只有投资对印尼的经济增长产生了显著的积极影响。入学率和用电量对经济增长没有显著影响。调整速度(ECT(-1))对GDP有显著影响。通过Qusum和QusumQ检验,该模型具有可行的稳定性。因此,应该实施更有力的电力政策来支持经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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