Study of Pre-Monsoon Thunderstorms and Associated Thermodynamic Features Over Bangladesh Using WRF-ARW Model

Pappu Paul, A. Imran, Md. Jafrul Islam, Alamgir Kabir, Sahadat Jaman, I. M. Syed
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Thunderstorm is a mesoscale system (from a km to below thousands of km and sustaining less than one hour). Two pre-monsoon thunderstorms events are analyzed in this study which are named as event-1 (0030-0150 UTC of 19 April 2018 over Chattogram) and event-2 (0600-1000 UTC of 4 May 2018 over Dhaka). To predict these events Mean Convective Available Potential Energy (mCAPE), Mean Convective Inhibition Energy (mCINE), K Index (KI), Total totals Index (TTI), wind distribution, and relative humidity (RH) are investigated.The model simulated mCAPE and mCINE values, 18 hours before the events, are found greater than 1700 J/Kg and less than 100 J/Kg respectively which satisfies the conditions for thunderstorms to occur.The KI values are close to 400C and TTI values are greater or equal to 450C for both events. The wind patterns and the high value of mid –tropospheric RH also favors the formation of severe thunderstorm. Dhaka Univ. J. Sci. 67(2): 151-156, 2019 (July)
利用WRF-ARW模式研究孟加拉国季风前雷暴及其相关热力特征
雷暴是一个中尺度系统(从一公里到几千公里以下,持续时间不超过一小时)。本研究分析了两个季风前雷暴事件,分别命名为事件-1 (Chattogram上2018年4月19日0030-0150 UTC)和事件-2(2018年5月4日0600-1000 UTC)。为了预测这些事件,研究了平均对流有效势能(mCAPE)、平均对流抑制能(mCINE)、K指数(KI)、总总量指数(TTI)、风分布和相对湿度(RH)。模型模拟了雷暴发生前18 h的mCAPE和mCINE值,分别大于1700 J/Kg和小于100 J/Kg,满足雷暴发生的条件。这两个事件的KI值都接近400C, TTI值都大于或等于450C。风型和对流层中RH高值也有利于强雷暴的形成。达卡大学学报(自然科学版),67(2):151-156,2019 (7)
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